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After 92% YTD Surge, Is Tempus AI a Buy on Trump's Executive Order?
ZACKSยท 2025-05-15 20:01
Core Viewpoint - Tempus AI has shown significant growth and investor interest following its IPO, with a year-to-date stock increase of 91.8%, outperforming the Medical Info Systems industry and the broader market [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Tempus AI reported a 75.4% year-over-year revenue increase and a 99.8% rise in gross profit [6]. - Genomics revenues grew by 89% year over year, with the core clinical diagnostics business expanding by 31% due to a 20% increase in volume [7]. - The company reported an adjusted EBITDA loss of $16.2 million, an improvement from a $43.9 million loss in the same period last year [8]. Strategic Partnerships and Initiatives - Tempus AI secured a $200 million, three-year deal with AstraZeneca and Pathos to develop a large oncology foundation model, increasing its total remaining contract value to over $1 billion [9]. - The acquisition of Ambry Genetics and the launch of the "olivia" personal health concierge app have enhanced the company's capabilities [10]. Revenue Guidance and Market Outlook - The company raised its full-year 2025 revenue outlook to $1.25 billion, indicating an 80% year-over-year growth, and expects a positive adjusted EBITDA of $5 million for the year [11]. - The recent executive order aimed at reducing U.S. drug prices could benefit Tempus AI by increasing demand for its AI-driven diagnostics and real-world data tools [12]. Valuation and Market Position - Despite recent gains, Tempus AI's stock is still 29.2% below its 52-week high, suggesting potential for further upward movement [13]. - The stock is currently trading at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 8.21, which is above the industry average of 6.0, indicating it may be slightly overvalued [14]. Investment Recommendation - Tempus AI is viewed as a "Hold" for now, with strong long-term potential but facing competition and currently trading at a premium [16].