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Ciena's Stock Skyrockets 143% in 12 Months: Is More Upside Left?
ZACKS· 2025-09-12 14:31
Core Insights - Ciena Corporation's shares have increased by 143% over the past year, significantly outperforming the Zacks Communication-Components industry, the Zacks Computer and Technology sector, and the S&P 500 composite, which grew by 88%, 30.5%, and 19.8% respectively [1][8] - The company is currently trading near its 52-week high of $134.31, closing at $132.5 as of September 11, 2025 [2] Company Overview - Ciena, based in Hanover, MD, is a leading provider of optical networking equipment, software, and services, with reporting segments including Networking Platforms, Platform Software and Services, Blue Planet Automation Software and Services, and Global Services [3] Market Trends and Growth Drivers - The demand for Ciena's products is being driven by increased network traffic and bandwidth needs due to AI and cloud adoption, with cloud and service providers investing heavily in networks to support AI growth [5][10] - Ciena's Navigator Network Control Suite has seen over 30% order growth in early fiscal 2025, and the company anticipates around 17% revenue growth in fiscal 2026, reaching its three-year CAGR target ahead of schedule [5][11] Product and Technology Advancements - Ciena's Adaptive Network combines AI-driven automation, programmable infrastructure, and advanced analytics to manage services across complex networks, enhancing network performance and predicting issues [4][10] - The company is focusing R&D on Coherent Optical Systems, Interconnects, and Coherent Routing, while reducing investment in residential broadband [5] Financial Performance and Projections - Ciena expects Interconnect revenues to at least double in 2025, with further growth anticipated in 2026, supported by strong demand for packet optical transport and switching products [9] - Management plans to maintain operating expenses at around $1.5 billion in fiscal 2026, with expectations to reach a 15-16% operating margin target a year earlier than planned [11] Competitive Positioning - Ciena's portfolio, including WaveLogic, RLS, Navigator, and Interconnect solutions, remains an industry standard, with WaveLogic 6 providing a significant technology advantage [10] - The company is the only provider with a 1.6Tbps WAN solution, securing industry-first AI infrastructure wins in North America and expanding deals with global service providers [10] Valuation Metrics - Ciena's shares are trading at a premium with a price/earnings ratio of 40.98, compared to the industry average of 31.86 [17] - In comparison, peers such as Corning Incorporated, Viavi Solutions Inc., and Altice USA, Inc. are trading at multiples of 27.58, 21.11, and negative 12.38 respectively [18]
Why Ciena (CIEN) is a Top Momentum Stock for the Long-Term
ZACKS· 2025-08-26 14:51
Core Insights - Zacks Premium provides various tools for investors to enhance their stock market strategies, including daily updates on Zacks Rank and Industry Rank, access to the Zacks 1 Rank List, Equity Research reports, and Premium stock screens [1] Zacks Style Scores - Zacks Style Scores are indicators designed to help investors select stocks with the highest potential to outperform the market within 30 days, rated from A to F based on value, growth, and momentum characteristics [2] - The Value Score focuses on identifying undervalued stocks using ratios like P/E, PEG, Price/Sales, and Price/Cash Flow [3] - The Growth Score assesses a company's financial health and future outlook by analyzing projected and historical earnings, sales, and cash flow [4] - The Momentum Score helps investors capitalize on price trends by evaluating one-week price changes and monthly earnings estimate changes [5] - The VGM Score combines all three Style Scores, providing a comprehensive indicator for selecting stocks with attractive value, growth forecasts, and promising momentum [6] Zacks Rank - The Zacks Rank is a proprietary model that utilizes earnings estimate revisions to assist investors in building successful portfolios, with 1 (Strong Buy) stocks achieving an average annual return of +23.75% since 1988, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 [7][8] - There are over 800 top-rated stocks available, making it essential for investors to utilize Style Scores to identify the best opportunities [9] Stock Analysis: Ciena Corporation - Ciena Corporation, a leading provider of optical networking equipment, holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) and a VGM Score of A, making it noteworthy for momentum investors [11] - The company has seen an upward revision in earnings estimates for fiscal 2025, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate increasing to $2.26 per share, and it boasts an average earnings surprise of +15.3% [12]