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Can Axon Maintain EBITDA Margin Momentum Amid Cost Pressures?
ZACKS· 2025-12-02 16:35
Core Insights - Axon Enterprise, Inc. (AXON) reported an adjusted EBITDA of $503.8 million for the first nine months of 2025, marking a year-over-year increase of 32.6% with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 25.4% [1][8] - The company's gross margin improved to 60.4%, driven by strong sales of TASER 10, Axon Body 4, and platform solutions, despite rising operating expenses [2][8] - Axon has updated its 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance to a range of $682-$686 million, indicating a margin of approximately 25% [3][8] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Axon achieved revenues of $710.6 million, reflecting a 31% increase year-over-year [2] - The company’s focus on cost management and revenue growth is expected to enhance its margin performance moving forward [3][4] Peer Comparison - While Axon is improving its margins, peers like Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) and Teledyne Technologies Incorporated (TDY) are facing challenges, with Kratos experiencing a 22% increase in cost of sales and a decline in gross margin by 310 basis points to 22.4% [5][6] - Teledyne Technologies reported a 6.8% rise in cost of sales and a 40 basis point decline in adjusted operating margin to 22.1% [6] Valuation and Market Performance - Axon shares have declined by 10.2% year-to-date, contrasting with the industry growth of 23.1% [7] - The company is currently trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 69.96X, significantly above the industry average of 43.80X [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Axon's 2025 earnings has decreased by 8.1% over the past 60 days [11]