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Mirion Technologies Up 59.2% in 3 Months: Is the Stock Still a Buy?
ZACKSยท 2025-07-07 17:20
Core Insights - Mirion Technologies (MIR) has achieved a 59.2% gain over the past three months, outperforming BWX Technologies (BWXT) at 53.4% but trailing behind Cameco Corporation (CCJ) which gained 100.2% [1][7] Group 1: Performance and Market Position - MIR's growth is driven by AI-linked nuclear demand, strategic partnerships, and strong revenue guidance for 2025 [7] - The stock currently has a Momentum Score of A, indicating strong technical performance and market sentiment [5][7] Group 2: Business Environment and Opportunities - The U.S. Department of Energy forecasts that data center energy usage will double or triple by 2028, which is beneficial for nuclear energy demand [8] - Executive orders signed by President Trump aim to increase U.S. nuclear energy capacity from 100 GW to 400 GW by 2050, prioritizing domestic uranium supply [9] - Mirion's technologies are essential throughout the nuclear energy lifecycle, with a focus on small modular reactor development and partnerships with companies like Westinghouse Electric [10] Group 3: Financial Outlook - For 2025, MIR expects total revenue growth in the 5-7% range, with adjusted EBITDA projected between $215-$230 million and adjusted free cash flow between $85-$110 million [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 revenues indicates a 5.3% increase from 2024, while earnings are expected to rise by 14.6% [11][12] Group 4: Challenges and Risks - Mirion faces foreign exchange-related risks, with a forecasted headwind of approximately 40 basis points for revenue growth [15] - Supply chain disruptions and tariff risks pose significant challenges, particularly due to the current U.S. administration's protectionist policies [16] - The company's shares are trading at a premium, with a 12-month forward price-to-sales ratio of 5.33 compared to the industry average of 3.31 [17]