Core Insights - Annaly Capital Management (NLY) benefits from a well-diversified capital allocation strategy, with an investment portfolio totaling $84.9 billion as of March 31, 2025, which includes residential credit, mortgage servicing rights (MSR), and agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) [1][9] Investment Strategy - The diversified investment strategy is expected to contribute significantly to long-term growth and stability, allowing the company to capitalize on various opportunities while mitigating risks from overexposure to specific areas [2] - In 2022, NLY divested its Middle Market Lending portfolio and exited the commercial real estate sector, reallocating capital to enhance its core housing finance strategy and focus on residential credit, MSR, and Agency MBS [3] - The inclusion of MSRs is particularly advantageous as their value tends to rise with increasing interest rates, providing a hedge against declines in agency MBS values, which may lead to more consistent returns [4] Competitive Landscape - AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) adopts a proactive portfolio management approach, frequently adjusting asset allocations and hedging strategies to reduce risks and capture yield opportunities [5] - Starwood Property Trust (STWD) focuses on commercial real estate, holding a diversified portfolio of $1.02 billion as of Q1 2025, and maintains steady income through principal repayments and targeted acquisitions [6] Performance Metrics - NLY shares have increased by 9.2% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 4.8% [7][9] - The forward price-to-tangible book (P/TB) ratio for Annaly is 0.98X, slightly above the industry average of 0.96X [10] - Earnings estimates for NLY indicate a year-over-year increase of 6.3% for 2025 and 1.4% for 2026, with upward revisions in the past 60 days [13]

Core Viewpoint - Annaly Capital Management offers an exceptionally high dividend yield of over 14%, significantly higher than the S&P 500 average, but concerns exist regarding the sustainability of this yield due to the nature of its investments and market conditions [1][2]. Group 1: Dividend and Financial Performance - Annaly Capital raised its quarterly dividend payout by 7.7% to $0.70 per share, despite the high yield appearing unsustainable [2]. - The company reported earnings available for distribution of $0.72 per share in the first quarter, aligning with its increased dividend commitment [5]. - It will take over five years for investors to recoup their principal investment based on the current yield [3]. Group 2: Investment Strategy and Portfolio Composition - Unlike traditional REITs, Annaly invests in mortgage-backed securities (MBS), mortgage servicing rights (MSR), and residential credit, allowing it to avoid income taxes by distributing at least 90% of profits [4]. - As of March 31, 2023, Annaly's portfolio asset values were $77.6 billion in Agency MBS, $1.8 billion in MSR, and $5.2 billion in residential credit, with committed capital of $7.7 billion, $1.8 billion, and $2.1 billion respectively [5]. - The company utilizes approximately $8 billion in capital to manage a $75 billion MBS portfolio, indicating significant leverage [6]. Group 3: Risks and Market Conditions - The high yields offered by mortgage REITs like Annaly are tied to the performance of their MBS portfolios, which can be adversely affected by rising interest rates [7]. - Rapid interest rate increases can lead to significant challenges for Annaly, as evidenced by a 26% dividend reduction in early 2023 due to previous rate hikes [9][10]. - The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates and reduce its MBS portfolio adds uncertainty to Annaly's future dividend sustainability [11].

Annaly Capital Management (NLY) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 01, 2025 09:00 AM ET Company Participants Sean Kensil - Director of Investor RelationsDavid Finkelstein - CEO & Co-Chief Investment OfficerSerena Wolfe - CFOBose George - Managing DirectorV.S. Srinivasan - Head of AgencyEric Hagen - Managing DirectorMike Fania - Co-Chief Investment Officer & Head of Residential CreditJason Weaver - Managing Director - Equity ResearchTrevor Cranston - Managing Director Conference Call Participants Doug Harter - Equity ...

Annaly Capital Management (NLY) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 01, 2025 09:00 AM ET Speaker0 Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Sean Kensal of Investor Relations. Please go ahead. Speaker1 Good morning and welcome to the first quarter twenty twenty five earnings call for Annaly Capital Management. Any forward looking statements made during today's call are subject to certain risks and uncertainties, which are outlined in the Risk Factors section in our most ...

First Quarter 2025 Investor Presentation April 30, 2025 Important Notices This presentation is issued by Annaly Capital Management, Inc. ("Annaly"), an internally-managed, publicly traded company that has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes, and is being furnished in connection with Annaly's First Quarter 2025 earnings release. This presentation is provided for investors in Annaly for informational purposes only and is not an offer to sell, or a solicitation ...