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Ternium(TX) - 2024 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
TXTernium(TX)2024-07-31 18:20

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Ternium reported an adjusted EBITDA of 545millionforQ22024,maintaininga12545 million for Q2 2024, maintaining a 12% margin despite a weak steel price environment [4][17] - The company generated strong cash from operations amounting to 656 million, maintaining a solid net cash position of 1.9billionevenafterrecorddividenddistributions[4][22]Netincomewasnegativelyimpactedbya1.9 billion even after record dividend distributions [4][22] - Net income was negatively impacted by a 783 million provision related to ongoing litigation concerning Usiminas, with adjusted net income decreasing to 40million[5][18]BusinessLineDataandKeyMetricsChangesShipmentsinMexicoexperiencedaslightdeclineinQ2,affectedbyadownturninsteelpricesandatropicalstorm[19]InBrazil,shipmentsincreasedby640 million [5][18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Shipments in Mexico experienced a slight decline in Q2, affected by a downturn in steel prices and a tropical storm [19] - In Brazil, shipments increased by 6% across all segments, particularly in the automotive and manufacturing sectors [19][13] - The mining segment's net sales remained stable, with volume and revenue per ton steady in Q2 [21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The steel market in Mexico remains healthy, with a 14% year-over-year increase in apparent steel consumption last year [8] - Automotive production in Mexico increased by 5% year-over-year in the first half of 2024, indicating strong demand in the industrial steel market [8] - U.S. exports of finished steel to Mexico rose by 7% in the first five months of 2024, while Mexican exports to the U.S. decreased by 12% [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Ternium is focused on expanding its capabilities in the USMCA region, with significant projects underway, including a new 2.6 million tons steel slab mill expected to be completed by mid-2026 [8][6] - The company aims to enhance its product offerings in high-end steel products for automotive, renewable energy, and construction sectors, leveraging new finishing lines and R&D initiatives [7][6] - Ternium is committed to sustainability, with ongoing climate change initiatives, including the construction of a wind farm in Argentina [15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about Ternium's performance in the upcoming quarters, anticipating a bottoming of margins in Q3 followed by growth in shipments and margins as steel prices begin to rise [16][56] - The company noted that the steel market is influenced by external factors, including excess production from China, but sees robust demand in both the U.S. and Mexico [27][42] - Management highlighted the importance of the USMCA agreement, emphasizing mutual benefits for the U.S. and Mexico [44] Other Important Information - Ternium's technical school in Pesqueria has been recognized for its positive impact on communities and sustainability, graduating over 600 students since its establishment [15] - The company is actively defending its position in ongoing litigation related to Usiminas, with plans to file all available motions and appeals [5][6] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on HRC prices in the U.S. and MUSA expansion - Management noted that HRC prices in the U.S. have stabilized around 700 per metric ton, with indications of a potential rebound [26] - The decision on the MUSA project is expected by the end of next year, with ongoing engineering and project scope work [29] Question: Status of U.S. import tariffs and Usiminas lawsuit - Management confirmed that the 25% import tariff exemption for Brazilian steel is considered official, although implementation details are still being finalized [31] - The ongoing judicial process regarding the CSN lawsuit is complex, and management prefers not to comment further at this time [32] Question: Demand recovery and potential risks from U.S. elections - Management indicated a pickup in demand in Mexico, with clients returning to purchase as prices stabilize [42] - Concerns about the USMCA's future were addressed, with management expressing confidence in the agreement's benefits for all parties involved [44] Question: Siderar's operating loss and future profitability - Management acknowledged that Siderar faced challenges in Q2 due to low volumes and increased costs, but expects a recovery in the coming quarters [46][47] Question: Dividend policy and slab pricing - Management sees no reason to change the current dividend policy, citing strong free cash flow and a solid financial position [51] - Ternium is a net buyer of slabs, and the Brazilian operations can operate efficiently even at lower slab prices [53]