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Donegal (DGICA) - 2019 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a net income of $14.2 million or $0.50 per diluted Class A share for Q4 2019, compared to a net loss of $15 million or $0.54 per Class A share in Q4 2018 [44] - Full year net income for 2019 was $47.2 million or $1.67 per diluted Class A share, a significant improvement from a net loss of $32.8 million or $1.18 per Class A share in 2018 [44] - Book value per share increased by 11.5% during the full year to $15.67 at December 31, 2019 [10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net premiums written increased by 1.6% to $171 million in Q4 2019, with commercial lines premiums growing by 14.3% while personal lines premiums declined by 10.3% [28][29] - Commercial lines accounted for approximately 54% of total business writings in 2019, up from 48% in 2018, driven by growth in commercial multi-peril and commercial auto [12] - Personal lines net written premiums declined by 10.1% for the full year 2019, primarily due to the exit from unprofitable markets in seven states [18][19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company experienced a stable insurance market in 2020, allowing for additional pricing increases where warranted [8] - The statutory combined ratio for commercial lines improved to 95% in 2019 from 103.7% in 2018, reflecting lower weather-related losses and strong workers' compensation results [17] - The workers' compensation line reported a statutory combined ratio of 78.5% for the full year, benefiting from favorable reserve development trends [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to enhance operational efficiency and improve financial performance through strategic initiatives focused on underwriting profitability and book value growth [46] - A new underwriting platform is being implemented to modernize legacy systems, with plans to roll out new personal and homeowners products starting in Q2 2021 [23][24] - The company is focusing on maintaining strong relationships with agents to support new business opportunities and improve service [13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the positive momentum entering 2020, driven by improved profitability and stable market conditions [7] - The company plans to take a cautious approach to growing personal lines in 2020, focusing on profitability rather than top-line growth [50] - Management acknowledged the challenges in the commercial auto segment but remains committed to aggressive rate increases to restore profitability [76] Other Important Information - The company consolidated several insurance subsidiaries to simplify operations and reduce administrative costs, with minimal impact on staffing and operations [26] - The company reduced reinsurance premiums in 2019, which positively impacted net premiums written and pre-tax income [33] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide the fourth quarter reserve development breakdown by line? - The company reported favorable development of $5.9 million in workers' compensation, offset by unfavorable development of $2 million in commercial auto and $700,000 in commercial multi-peril [48] Question: What should we expect for top line and personal lines for 2020? - The company plans to take a cautious approach to growing personal lines, focusing on profitability and modest rate increases [50][52] Question: Are there any changes in frequency and severity trends in workers' compensation? - The company has not seen significant changes, with frequency continuing to decline modestly and severity holding steady [54] Question: How is the company thinking about growing the agency network? - The company is focusing on building relationships with large aggregators and small to mid-sized agencies amid ongoing consolidation in the independent agency networks [56] Question: Are you booking higher current accident year loss numbers in workers' compensation? - The company is projecting that the 2019 accident year will have similar results to previous years, without significant changes in loss expectations [61][64] Question: What is the impact of the policyholder dividend ratio increase? - The increase is influenced by the profitability of workers' compensation and growth in writings in Wisconsin, where dividends are part of the pricing mechanism [69][70] Question: Where does the company stand on commercial auto rates versus loss costs? - The company is taking aggressive rate increases, with retention levels remaining stable, indicating that the segment is underpriced [76]