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Potbelly(PBPB) - 2022 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Quarterly revenue reached $120.2 million, and full-year revenue was $452 million, both all-time records, representing a 17% increase for the quarter and a 19% increase for the year compared to the previous year [14][24] - Same store sales growth was 18.9% for the quarter and 18.5% for the year, driven by strong traffic and operational success [14][24] - Positive net income of $2.7 million for the quarter and $4.3 million for the year, marking the third consecutive quarter of profitability [14][18] - Adjusted EBITDA for the year was $15.7 million, an improvement of $15.2 million compared to the previous year [24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Digital engagement represented 38% of revenue, significantly contributing to record fourth-quarter results [15][44] - Catering business is accelerating, with sales approaching pre-pandemic levels, supported by targeted marketing initiatives [16][40] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - AUVs (Average Unit Volumes) were $24,144 for the fourth quarter and $22,464 for the full year, with January and February 2023 AUVs recorded at $22,311 and $23,815 respectively [14][17] - The company experienced strong growth in CBD, airport, and suburban locations, indicating a recovery in these markets [3][17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to become primarily franchise-focused, with 51 new shop commitments signed in late 2022, and plans to refranchise approximately 25% of company-owned shops [13][22] - The strategic plan includes achieving AUVs of $1.3 million and shop level margins of 16% by 2024 [22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about continued growth in 2023, expecting first-quarter AUVs between $23,000 and $24,000 and same store sales growth between 18.5% and 20.5% [21] - The company anticipates inflation to be less impactful in 2023, with a focus on maintaining operational efficiencies [19][20] Other Important Information - The company reported a liquidity position of $31.4 million at the end of the fourth quarter, including cash and available credit [23] - The company has made significant progress in improving customer satisfaction scores and operational efficiencies [3][12] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the goal for new shop commitments by year-end? - The company is focusing on quality over quantity in filling the pipeline, with mid-hundreds of leads per quarter and a robust sales team to manage these leads [28][30] Question: What is the outlook on commodity pressures and contracts? - Commodity inflation peaked at over 21% but is expected to continue decreasing, with about 55% of the basket locked in contracts [31] Question: How has wage inflation been trending? - Wage inflation is expected to be in the mid-single digits, with high retention rates aiding in recruitment [33][35] Question: What is the status of the digital kitchen rollout? - The digital kitchen is currently in 38 locations, with plans to expand to around 100 by year-end, showing improvements in customer experience metrics [51] Question: How is the company leveraging digital engagement? - The company is focusing on digital advertising, e-commerce efforts, and a perks loyalty program to enhance customer engagement [59][69]