低空经济起飞-产业链各环节迎来新机会
2024-10-01 12:43

Summary of Low Altitude Economy Conference Call Industry Overview - The low altitude economy in China encompasses upstream raw materials, key components and systems, midstream aircraft manufacturing, and downstream operation and support segments. According to the "14th Five-Year Plan," the comprehensive contribution of the low altitude economy to the national economy is expected to reach 3 to 5 trillion yuan, becoming a new growth point [1][2] Key Points on Midstream Aircraft Manufacturing - Midstream aircraft manufacturing is the core segment of the low altitude economy, including helicopters, eVTOLs, and drones. Its development cycle is similar to that of the new energy vehicle industry, showing explosive growth from initial R&D to policy support and market entry [3] eVTOL as a Key Investment Area - eVTOL is viewed as an important subfield of future air transportation, characterized by electric drive, low noise, high cost-effectiveness, low maintenance costs, and environmental safety. It is currently a hot investment track [4] Cost and Economic Viability of eVTOL - For example, traveling from Shenzhen Shekou to Zhuhai Jiuzhou Port via eVTOL takes only 15 minutes, although current ticket prices are relatively high. As commercialization progresses and the cost of individual units decreases, the payback period is expected to shorten. When scaled, the economic viability of eVTOL will improve significantly [5] Global Market Position of Chinese Companies - Among global low altitude aircraft manufacturers, UK-based Vertical Aerospace stands out with 1,500 orders. Chinese manufacturers, including EHang, IAT, Windhorse Aerospace, VoFly, XPeng HT Aero, and Future Aerospace, rank highest in global order numbers. Most Chinese companies are in the pre-delivery stage, but EHang and Windhorse have begun order deliveries and are moving towards commercialization [6] Downstream Operation and Application Scenarios - The downstream segment includes air traffic management systems, communication navigation systems, and resource planning. Key detection processes span all stages of R&D, production, assembly, test flights, and maintenance. Application scenarios cover medical rescue, logistics, agriculture, and tourism, with technologies being relatively mature but still awaiting commercialization [7][8] Role of Drones in Logistics - Drones offer advantages in logistics, including short distances, high efficiency, and low costs, making them a competitive option for delivery services. They are primarily used for last-mile delivery within 5,000 to 10,000 kilometers, requiring new infrastructure for smooth operations [9][10] Future Development of Drones in Urban Air Transport - By 2027, urban air logistics delivery is expected to achieve commercialization, with a complete drone delivery network anticipated by 2030. This network is expected to enhance overall delivery efficiency and reduce costs, unlocking the potential of the low altitude economy in logistics [11] Economic Benefits of Drones - Drones have significant cost advantages in logistics. For instance, the cost of drone delivery is approximately 1.14 yuan per package, lower than traditional methods. As production scales, costs are expected to decrease further, with potential time savings of 40% to 60% compared to traditional transport [12][13] Applications of Drones in Agriculture - In agriculture, drones are used for pesticide spraying, information monitoring, insurance surveying, and planting. They significantly reduce labor costs, especially in complex environments. Policies are in place to support this trend [15] Regional Development Potential - The low altitude economy industry is concentrated in regions like the Pearl River Delta and Yangtze River Delta, with significant market shares. Future development is expected in areas like Sichuan, Shandong, and Hubei, driven by geographical factors [16] Key Measures for Commercialization - Key measures for the commercialization of low altitude aircraft include flight testing and operational support. Ensuring airworthiness is crucial before use, and real-time information exchange systems are necessary for operational safety [17]