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Alignment Healthcare(ALHC) - 2024 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Health plan membership reached 182,300 members, representing approximately 58% year-over-year growth, surpassing the year-end guidance of 178,000 to 180,000 members [7][26] - Total revenue for Q3 2024 was 692million,growingapproximately52692 million, growing approximately 52% year-over-year, and 62% excluding ACO REACH, marking the highest revenue growth quarter as a publicly traded company [8][27] - Adjusted gross profit was 81 million, with a consolidated Medical Benefit Ratio (MBR) of 88.4%, leading to adjusted EBITDA of positive 6millionforthequarter[8][31]Forthefullyear2024,revenueisexpectedtobebetween6 million for the quarter [8][31] - For the full year 2024, revenue is expected to be between 2.67 billion and 2.68billion,withadjustedgrossprofitbetween2.68 billion, with adjusted gross profit between 282 million and 297million[34]BusinessLineDataandKeyMetricsChangesTheCareAnywhereclinicalmodelcontributedtomanagingcareandcontrollingcostswhileachievingnearly60297 million [34] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Care Anywhere clinical model contributed to managing care and controlling costs while achieving nearly 60% membership growth year-over-year [11] - 98% of health plan members are in plans rated 4-stars or above for 2025, with significant performance in California HMO contracts [12][13] - Adjusted SG&A for Q3 was 75 million, an increase of 8% year-over-year, but as a percentage of revenue excluding ACO REACH, it declined from 16.2% to 10.8% [30][31] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is positioned to benefit from CMS's changes that reward health plans delivering better care and value to seniors, creating opportunities for growth [9][10] - The California HMO contract has maintained a 4-star rating for eight consecutive years, while the Nevada and North Carolina contracts retained their 5-star ratings [12][13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on profitability and directing capital towards markets with the greatest competitive advantage and highest return on investment [19] - For 2025, the company anticipates at least 20% growth and is confident in achieving consensus adjusted EBITDA of approximately 40million[23][40]TheMedicareAdvantageindustryisseenasbeingataninflectionpoint,requiringpopulationhealthmanagementcapabilitiesandconsumercentrictechnology[24]ManagementsCommentsonOperatingEnvironmentandFutureOutlookManagementexpressedconfidenceinmaintainingstrongstarratingsandtheabilitytomanagecostswhilegrowingquickly,reinforcingconfidenceinthe2025outlook[31][40]Thecompanyisoptimisticabouttheupcomingyear,expectingcontinuedgrowthandmarginexpansionopportunities[20][40]OtherImportantInformationThecompanyendedQ3with40 million [23][40] - The Medicare Advantage industry is seen as being at an inflection point, requiring population health management capabilities and consumer-centric technology [24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in maintaining strong star ratings and the ability to manage costs while growing quickly, reinforcing confidence in the 2025 outlook [31][40] - The company is optimistic about the upcoming year, expecting continued growth and margin expansion opportunities [20][40] Other Important Information - The company ended Q3 with 381 million in cash and investments, with expectations for year-end parent cash to be approximately the same or higher [32] - Adjusted EBITDA profitability has been achieved for two consecutive quarters, highlighting the company's ability to manage costs effectively [31] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the ongoing investments in local market relations with providers and brokers? - The company is investing in provider operations and automating workflows to enhance collaboration with IPAs, aiming for better outcomes [42][44] Question: What factors contributed to the strong membership growth? - The disciplined bid process and investments in member experience have led to significant growth, with a focus on balancing growth and margin [46][48] Question: How does the company view the MLR changes and their impact on 2025? - The company is confident that the elevated MLR in Q4 will not affect their 2025 outlook, as strong utilization performance supports their assumptions [56][57] Question: What is the strategy regarding capitated contracts and Part D? - There are no changes expected in the structure of capitated contracts for 2025, and Part D is anticipated to be a tailwind for overall MLR next year [100][102] Question: How is the company addressing CAHPS scores and access to care? - The company is focusing on improving care routing and access to specialists, integrating IPAs into their workflows to enhance member experience [91][92]