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GSK(GSK) - 2024 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - GSK reported a 9% sales growth and a 19% profit growth year-to-date, reflecting strong performance in Specialty Medicines [4][10] - Excluding COVID, sales for the quarter grew 2% and 9% year-to-date, with core operating profit and core EPS growth both up 5% [5][9] - Cash generated from operations was GBP5.3 billion year-to-date, an increase of GBP0.9 billion compared to last year [52] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Specialty Medicines, the largest segment, grew 19%, driven by strong performance in oncology and HIV [19][30] - General Medicines sales increased by 7%, primarily due to Trelegy, which saw a 16% increase [35] - Vaccine sales declined by 15%, impacted by lower demand for Arexvy and Shingrix [20][21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. market was significantly impacted by lower vaccine demand, while international markets showed good growth [20] - Arexvy is now launched in 35 markets, with 16 having national recommendations [22] - Shingrix's growth outside the U.S. was 9%, with U.S. penetration at 39% [23] Company Strategy and Development Direction - GSK aims for 7% to 9% sales growth and double-digit profit growth for 2024, with a focus on Specialty Medicines and Vaccines [16][57] - The company plans to pursue bolt-on business development to enhance its pipeline and technology platforms [17] - GSK is committed to delivering sustainable health impact, particularly in its HIV business, with plans to provide long-acting treatments in low and middle-income countries [15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving full-year guidance and long-term growth outlooks, despite challenges in the vaccine segment [61][63] - The company anticipates continued growth in Specialty Medicines, particularly in oncology and respiratory treatments [30][38] - Management acknowledged potential pressures from the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act but remains optimistic about underlying demand for its products [38][94] Other Important Information - GSK has made significant progress in its pipeline, with 11 positive phase III readouts and plans for five major product launches next year [11][12] - The company reported a GBP1.8 billion charge related to the resolution of Zantac litigation, impacting operating profit [49] - GSK's net debt decreased to GBP13 billion, reflecting strong free cash generation [54] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on pneumococcal vaccine and its timeline - Management confirmed a shift to a 30-valent vaccine for adults, with a first-in-human study expected next year [70][71] Question: Expectations for 2025 regarding Shingrix and Arexvy - Management expects 2025 to be another year of profitable growth, with continued focus on Specialty Medicines [72][74] Question: Sales contribution of Shingrix in China - GSK has sold around 240 million doses under its contract with Zhifei, with flexibility in the contract terms [90] Question: Detailed Phase III Nucala data release - Detailed data from the MATINEE trial will be presented in the first half of next year [86] Question: RSV opportunities outside the U.S. - Management indicated that the RSV vaccine is expected to see good adoption internationally, with ongoing contract negotiations [100]