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MFA Financial(MFA) - 2024 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Distributable earnings for Q3 2024 were 0.37pershare,adecreasefrom0.37 per share, a decrease from 0.45 in Q2 2024 [23] - GAAP earnings increased to 48.2millionor48.2 million or 0.38 per share, up from 41.9millionor41.9 million or 0.32 per share in the previous quarter [18] - GAAP book value was 13.77pershare,andeconomicbookvaluewas13.77 per share, and economic book value was 14.46 per share, reflecting a 1% increase from 14.34attheendofJune[18]BusinessLineDataandKeyMetricsChangesThecompanyacquiredover14.34 at the end of June [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company acquired over 550 million in loans with an average coupon of 9.4% during the quarter [11] - Lima One funded 329millioninbusinesspurposeloans,reflectingadeclineinoriginationvolumeduetomanagementchangesandashiftawayfrommultifamilyoriginations[13][35]NonQMacquisitionsremainedflatcomparedtoQ2,withtotalassetacquisitionsforQ3beingalmostidenticaltothepreviousquarter[14]MarketDataandKeyMetricsChangesTheFederalReservecutthefederalfundsratetargetby50basispoints,signalingthestartofaneasingcycle[8]Thecompanyreportedamodestincreaseinestimateddurationto1.16329 million in business purpose loans, reflecting a decline in origination volume due to management changes and a shift away from multifamily originations [13][35] - Non-QM acquisitions remained flat compared to Q2, with total asset acquisitions for Q3 being almost identical to the previous quarter [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Federal Reserve cut the federal funds rate target by 50 basis points, signaling the start of an easing cycle [8] - The company reported a modest increase in estimated duration to 1.16% from 1.12% in the previous quarter [34] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on enhancing its portfolio through securitization, having closed two deals in Q3 and two more post-quarter [12] - Lima One is seen as a key differentiator, allowing the company to create high-yielding assets organically [15] - The management team is working on filling personnel vacancies and improving underwriting guidelines to strengthen the platform for future growth [14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the business model in the context of lower rates and a steepening yield curve, indicating potential growth opportunities [16] - The company anticipates a modest reduction in G&A expenses and a benefit to distributable earnings starting in Q1 2025 due to recent personnel changes [25] Other Important Information - The company sold single-family rental loans with an unpaid principal balance of approximately 236 million, marking the beginning of a new distribution channel for Lima One [20] - The company expects to see additional swap activity and the use of longer-dated swaps to balance the portfolio as it continues to add agencies [34] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on book value comments - Management indicated that the 3% to 4% decrease in economic book value was as of earlier that morning and is subject to market volatility [40] Question: Earnings power of the portfolio and sensitivity to lower short-term rates - Management discussed the earnings power of the portfolio and the impact of swaps, expressing confidence in the portfolio's earnings potential moving forward [42][44] Question: Loan warehouse capacity for Lima One - Management confirmed ample capacity for retaining loans on the balance sheet, with over 1billionofpotentialborrowingavailable[46]Question:ConsiderationsforincreasingleverageintheagencyportfolioManagementstatedthatgrowthintheagencyportfoliowoulddependonmarketspreadsandconditions,withpotentialgrowthto1 billion of potential borrowing available [46] Question: Considerations for increasing leverage in the agency portfolio - Management stated that growth in the agency portfolio would depend on market spreads and conditions, with potential growth to 1.5 billion to 2billion[47]Question:ProgrammaticloansaleoutlookManagementindicatedthatthirdpartysalescouldbecomeasignificantdistributionchannel,particularlyforrentalloans,asoriginationvolumesgrow[49]Question:CreditmarkonthemultifamilypieceManagementreportedacreditmarkofabout2 billion [47] Question: Programmatic loan sale outlook - Management indicated that third-party sales could become a significant distribution channel, particularly for rental loans, as origination volumes grow [49] Question: Credit mark on the multifamily piece - Management reported a credit mark of about 15 million on the multifamily portfolio, with a total UPB of approximately $1.1 billion [50] Question: Competitive landscape in the BPL business - Management acknowledged the competitive nature of the market but expressed confidence in their ability to regain lost volume through improvements in sales and marketing [51]