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Bumble(BMBL) - 2024 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
BMBLBumble(BMBL)2024-11-07 03:59

Financial Data and Key Metrics - Total revenue for Q3 2024 was 274million,down1274 million, down 1% YoY, with an unfavorable FX impact of approximately 1 million [37] - Bumble app revenue declined 1% YoY to 220million,alsoimpactedbyFX[37]Totalpayingusersgrew11220 million, also impacted by FX [37] - Total paying users grew 11% YoY to 4.3 million, with Bumble app paying users increasing 10% to 2.9 million [37] - Badoo app and other revenue declined 1% to 53 million, but showed slight growth excluding FX impact [38] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 increased 10% YoY to 83million,withamarginof3083 million, with a margin of 30%, up 290 basis points [42] - The company repurchased 120 million in stock since August, bringing total buybacks under the 450millionauthorizationto450 million authorization to 361 million [7][46] Business Line Performance - Bumble app revenue declined 1% YoY to 220million,withpayingusersgrowing10220 million, with paying users growing 10% to 2.9 million [37] - Badoo app and other revenue declined 1% YoY to 53 million, but paying users grew 14% to 1.4 million [38] - Badoo saw improved payer conversion due to revenue re-architecture, with six consecutive quarters of positive payer net ads [39] - Geneva, a new app focused on friendships and community, is now live and gradually increasing awareness [30] Market Performance - The company observed a high single-digit incremental increase in women's registration in a growing European market, leading to more daily "yes" votes [14] - Marketing efforts in top-tier cities, including organic strategies, are showing positive results, particularly among Gen Z women [12][69] - The company is expanding its marketing tests to additional markets in Q4, with plans for gradual global expansion [14] Strategy and Industry Competition - The company is focused on transforming Bumble by making data-driven decisions, increasing execution velocity, and attracting top talent [8] - Key initiatives include strengthening the core ecosystem, driving innovation in customer experience, and enhancing revenue strategy [11] - The company is piloting a generative AI-based customer service agent to improve response effectiveness and accuracy [17] - A winter product release in 2025 will focus on authentic connections, including ID verification and AI-powered photo selection [23] Management Commentary on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The company is confident in its transformation path and expects 2025 to be a pivotal year for growth [31] - Management emphasized the importance of balancing free users with subscription value to drive long-term profitability [25] - The company expects full realization of its strategic initiatives to take multiple quarters, with investments in marketing, technology, and product innovation [27][50] Other Important Information - The company recorded a non-cash impairment charge of 892millionrelatedtointangibleassetsandgoodwill,triggeredbyasustaineddeclineinmarketcap[40]FreecashflowforQ3was892 million related to intangible assets and goodwill, triggered by a sustained decline in market cap [40] - Free cash flow for Q3 was 92 million, with 252millionincashandcashequivalentsattheendofthequarter[45]Fullyear2024revenueisexpectedtobebetween252 million in cash and cash equivalents at the end of the quarter [45] - Full-year 2024 revenue is expected to be between 1.066 billion and 1.072billion,withBumbleapprevenueprojectedat1.072 billion, with Bumble app revenue projected at 861 million to $865 million [47] Q&A Session Summary Question: Progress on strategic initiatives and timeline for impact [54] - The company is focused on strengthening the ecosystem, ensuring customer success, and reimagining the revenue strategy, with early progress seen in Q3 [55] - Full realization of these initiatives will take multiple quarters, with more details to be provided in future earnings calls [56] Question: Capital allocation philosophy and buybacks [57] - The company prioritizes organic growth, opportunistic M&A, and returning capital to shareholders through buybacks [58] - For 2025, the focus will be on top-line growth while continuing the buyback program opportunistically [59] Question: Ecosystem health and customer experience initiatives [61] - The company is rebalancing marketing spend, strengthening organic marketing, and implementing a regular product cadence to improve ecosystem health [62] - Safety initiatives, such as improved photo moderation and ID verification, are seen as positive investments for user growth [63] Question: Badoo's role and potential in the portfolio [65] - Badoo serves a complementary customer base to Bumble, with positive engagement and ARPPU improvements observed after product and marketing changes [66] Question: Gen Z engagement and election impact [68] - The company has seen positive engagement from Gen Z women, particularly in top cities, due to organic marketing efforts [69] - Historically, elections have not significantly impacted customer engagement, and Q4 guidance remains consistent [70][71] Question: Free experience evolution and 2025 growth composition [73] - The company is focused on improving the free experience to drive conversion to paid tiers, with near-term opportunities to increase conversion rates [74] - Detailed plans for 2025, including user and payer growth, will be shared in future earnings calls [76] Question: Marketing tests in Europe and learnings for mature markets [78] - In emerging markets, the company has balanced brand expansion with tailored marketing, resulting in effective user acquisition [79] - In mature markets, organic marketing efforts, such as sponsoring the WNBA, have yielded positive results and amplified digital engagement [80] Question: Q4 margin outlook and advertising spend [83] - Q4 margins are expected to be lower due to higher marketing spend, but the full-year EBITDA margin outlook remains unchanged [83]