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SQM(SQM) - 2024 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
SQMSQM(SQM)2024-11-20 17:03

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported positive volume growth in almost all business lines compared to the previous year, with Specialty Plant Nutrition volumes growing over 20% year-on-year and revenues increasing by more than 12% despite lower prices [8] - Lithium sales volumes reached over 51,000 metric tons, reflecting an 18% year-on-year growth, although average realized prices were 24% lower than the previous quarter [11][12] - The company expects to achieve sales volumes close to 195,000 tons for the year, maintaining its guidance despite pricing pressures [16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Specialty Plant Nutrition showed solid dynamics with a market size recovery, contributing to revenue growth [8] - In Iodine, there has been a subtle but continued price increase since the beginning of the year, driven by strong demand and limited supply [9] - Lithium sales are under pressure from a temporary oversupply, but demand remains strong, particularly from the EV market [11][12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The global lithium demand is expected to surpass 1.1 million tons this year, with a forecasted growth of 16% to 18% annually for the next five years [27] - The iodine market is estimated to be around 38,000 to 39,000 tons, with a projected growth of 7% this year, primarily driven by the contrast media industry [31] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on increasing production efficiency and expanding capacity through projects like the seawater pipeline [9] - SQM is committed to developing its lithium projects in Chile and abroad, capitalizing on the clean energy transition [13] - The company plans to ramp up production at the Mt. Holland project, with expectations of producing between 110,000 to 130,000 tons of spodumene concentrate this year [18][46] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management believes current lithium market prices are not at equilibrium, with demand continuing to grow while prices remain below incentive levels for new projects [12] - The company is optimistic about the specialty fertilizer market and expects stable price behavior in the midterm [8] - Management is confident in the long-term value of the Kwinana refinery and the overall lithium industry despite potential challenges during commissioning [24] Other Important Information - The company is currently under an SEC investigation related to compliance with anti-corruption laws, and is cooperating with the inquiry [39][40] - The agreement with Codelco is progressing as expected, with no specific issues reported in negotiations with local communities [36][37] Q&A Session Summary Question: Does SQM need to cut volume to help support the market? - The company plans to increase sales in line with production and does not anticipate any curtailments [16] Question: Update on Mt. Holland spodumene and conversion plant? - The concentrator is expected to produce 110,000 to 130,000 tons of spodumene concentrate this year, with the conversion plant 91% constructed and commissioning ongoing [18][20] Question: Outlook for lithium market in 2025? - Demand is expected to remain strong, with projections of 3 million tons by the end of the decade, driven primarily by the EV market [27][28] Question: Update on iodine market and new capacity? - The iodine market is expected to grow around 7% this year, with new supply anticipated in 2025 and 2026, but demand is expected to outpace supply [31][32] Question: Status of SEC investigation? - The company is cooperating with the SEC's inquiry and has initiated an internal review to address the request for information [39][40]