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Datacenter Market Insights, Part 1 – Overall Servers
DataEye研究院·2024-12-19 16:37

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the datacenter market and global server shipments in the hardware technology sector, particularly focusing on the Asia Pacific region [13][14]. Core Insights and Arguments - Global Server Shipments: In 3Q24, global server shipments totaled 3.7 million units, reflecting a 1% quarter-over-quarter (q/q) increase and a 19% year-over-year (y/y) increase [13]. - AI Server Demand: AI server shipments continued to ramp up, with Super Micro reporting an 8% q/q increase in shipments, attributed to improved GPU supply [13]. The average selling price (ASP) for AI servers fell by 1% q/q to US19.5kduetolowerH100pricing[13].GeneralComputeServerDemand:Generalcomputeserverdemandisexpectedtoremainstable,withODMsanticipatingmidsingledigit(MSD)y/ygrowthforcloudcustomersinCY25[14].HighEndServerPerformance:Highendservershipmentsgrew18019.5k** due to lower H100 pricing [13]. - **General Compute Server Demand**: General compute server demand is expected to remain stable, with ODMs anticipating **mid-single-digit (MSD) y/y growth** for cloud customers in CY25 [14]. - **High-End Server Performance**: High-end server shipments grew **180% y/y** and **25% q/q**, while mid-range servers increased **113% y/y** and **41% q/q** [38]. Entry-level servers saw a **12% y/y** increase but a **3% q/q** decline [38]. - **Market Share Dynamics**: ODMs regained market share in the general and AI server markets from OEMs, with ODM direct market share increasing to **36.4%** in 3Q24, up **40 basis points (bps)** q/q [35]. Regional Performance - **Regional Growth**: The USA outperformed other regions with a **25% y/y** growth in shipments, followed by Asia Pacific excluding Japan (APxJ) at **18% y/y**, and the rest of the world (ROW) at **13% y/y** [17]. Stock Implications - **Preferred Stocks**: The report favors downstream ODMs such as **Hon Hai (2317.TW)**, **FII (601138.SS)**, **Wiwynn (6669.TW)**, and **Quanta (2382.TW)** for potential investment opportunities [15]. Additional Insights - **ASP Trends**: The ASP for ODM direct servers increased by **38% q/q** to approximately **US21.6k, likely due to a higher contribution from AI servers [39]. - Future Expectations: The GB200 server racks are expected to ramp up significantly from mid-February 2025, with projections of 500 racks in 4Q24, ~2,000 racks in 1Q25, and 5,000-10,000 racks in 2Q25 [36]. Conclusion - The datacenter market is experiencing robust growth driven by AI and general compute server demand, with significant opportunities for investment in key ODMs as they regain market share and adapt to evolving technology needs.