Thematic Opportunities Offset F_X Headwinds & Macro Uncertainty

Industry and Company Overview * Industry: Chemicals * Company: Ecolab Inc. (ECL) * Market Cap: $68.2B * **Ticker**: ECL Key Points 1. EPS and Financial Projections * **2024E EPS**:$6.62 * 2025E EPS: $7.55 * **2026E EPS**:$8.55 * 2027E EPS CAGR: 13.5% * FCF: $2B/yr (~$7.05/sh, 3% FCF yield) * Buybacks and M&A: ~$2B/yr * **Net Debt/EBITDA**: 2.1x by YE27E 2. Revenue and Growth * **2024E Revenue**:$16,078MM * 2025E Revenue: $16,905MM * **2026E Revenue**:$17,813MM * 2026E Organic Sales Growth: 5% * Acquisitions: Add $0.10-$0.15 to EPS 3. Valuation * Target Multiple: 35x 2026E EPS ($300 price target) * **Upside Scenario**:$366, +54% * Downside Scenario: $140, -41% 4. Growth Drivers * Emerging Markets Penetration * Market Share Gains in Core Geographies * Cost Savings * Disciplined Pricing Actions * Effective Use of Cash for M&A 5. ESG Initiatives * 100% Renewable Energy by 2030 * Halve Carbon Emissions by 2030 * Net-Zero Carbon Emissions by 2050 * Reduce Water Impact by 40% per Unit Production from 2018 * Increase Management-Level Gender Diversity to 35% * Increase Management-Level Ethnic/Racial Diversity to 25% 6. Risks * Dilutive M&A * Competitive Dynamics * Macroeconomic Uncertainty * Raw Material Inflation * European Economic Slowdown Conclusion Ecolab Inc. is a leading chemicals company with a strong growth outlook and a commitment to sustainability. The company's focus on emerging markets, cost savings, and disciplined pricing actions should drive revenue growth and EPS expansion. However, risks such as dilutive M&A and competitive dynamics need to be monitored.