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新能源T渠道近况更新
能源基金会·2025-01-15 07:33

Summary of Tesla's Conference Call Company Overview - Company: Tesla - Industry: Electric Vehicles (EV) Key Points and Arguments Order and Delivery Data - Total orders for Tesla from January 1 to date are 79,200 units, with Model 3 at 5,700 units and Model Y at 73,400 units [3] - Model Y orders include approximately 14,000 for the old version and 59,000 for the new version [3] - Daily average order volume was about 1,200 units before the new model launch, with a spike to 27,000 orders on launch day [3][5] - Global delivery forecast for 2024 is 1.79 million units, a decrease of about 20,000 units from 2023 [4][9] Market Response and Competition - The new Model Y received a positive market response, with significant order volumes post-launch [5] - Key competitors in the 200,000 to 300,000 yuan SUV segment include Xiaomi Yu7, Huawei models, and Zeekr [6] - Consumers may compare the new Model Y with competitors and may wait for the 2025 national replacement policy details before making a purchase [6] Inventory and Pricing Strategy - Current inventory includes approximately 12,000 Model Y units and about 1,000 Model 3 units, with expectations of Model Y inventory being sold out by the end of January [4][11] - Price adjustments for Model 3 and new Model Y will depend on market response, with no significant discounts expected in February to March [4][12] Production and Capacity - Tesla's Shanghai Gigafactory production capacity is stable, with no significant changes expected in the coming years [4][16] - Transition to the new Model Y may cause temporary production halts, similar to past model transitions [16] Policy and Market Trends - The replacement subsidy policy will continue to play a role in the first half of 2024, but its impact may diminish in the second half without new policy stimuli [4][13] - Tesla's growth in the industry is relatively modest, with an increase of about 8% compared to previous years [4][14] Product Improvements - The new Model Y features significant upgrades in design, interior comfort, and battery capacity, enhancing consumer appeal [4][10][7] - Improvements include a 10% increase in range due to a 2.5 kWh battery capacity increase and design enhancements [10] Future Developments - Plans for a new budget model have been delayed due to a shift in company priorities towards autonomous driving projects [17] - Uncertainty remains regarding the launch timeline for the Full Self-Driving (FSD) system in China, with no recent updates [18] Consumer Behavior - The purchase rate for FSD in China is low, with minimal new buyers since January [20] - The market has seen slight price increases this year, contrasting with last year's price cuts [21] Additional Features - The new Model Y includes enhanced sound insulation and improved thermal performance of glass [23][25] - The suspension system has been softened globally, not specifically for the Chinese market [26] Market Launches - The new Model Y has not yet launched in North America, expected to follow after inventory depletion in China [27] This summary encapsulates the key insights from Tesla's conference call, highlighting order trends, market competition, production capacity, and product improvements.