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吉利汽车&极氪

Summary of Conference Call on Automotive Industry Industry Overview - The automotive industry is experiencing strong sales, particularly in January, with expectations for continued robust performance through 2025 [1][3] - The rise of smart driving technology is a significant trend, with companies focusing on smartization as a key growth area [1][4] Key Companies Discussed - Geely: Recognized for its strong sales growth and ability to follow industry trends rather than lead [2][4] - Diadi, GD, Xiaopeng: Recommended for their strong career cycles and sales potential [1][2] - Geek Technology Group: Seen as undervalued with significant potential in smart driving and brand integration [12][13] Sales Projections - Geely aims for sales of 2.7 million units in 2025, a significant increase from 2.1 million in 2014 [3][4] - Galaxy brand expected to launch five new products in 2025, contributing to sales growth [4][5] - Total sales for Geely and its brands projected to reach nearly 700,000 units in 2025 and exceed 1 million in 2026 [19][20] Profitability Insights - Geely's single-vehicle profit is expected to improve significantly, with a projected profit of 1.3 billion yuan in 2025 and 1.6 billion yuan in 2026 [12][21] - Cost reductions anticipated in R&D and production, with BOM costs expected to decrease by 5% to 8% [20][21] Technological Advancements - Geely's new EMI mixing system has received positive user feedback, indicating improvements in flexibility and power [5][6] - Integration of smart driving technology is crucial, with plans for rapid follow-up on successful models [9][10][22] Brand Integration and Strategy - The merger of Link and Geek brands aims to streamline operations and reduce costs, enhancing overall profitability [11][15] - The focus on SUV models is a strategic move, with significant new launches planned for 2025 [18][19] Market Position and Valuation - Current valuation of Geely is approximately 12 times earnings, considered acceptable given growth prospects [12][24] - Anticipated market value of 2.3 trillion RMB, with a focus on maintaining competitive pricing and sales volume [24] Conclusion - The automotive industry, particularly Geely and its associated brands, is positioned for strong growth driven by technological advancements and strategic brand integration. The focus on smart driving and cost efficiency will be critical for maintaining profitability and market competitiveness in the coming years [1][12][24]