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Applied Materials(AMAT) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Applied Materials reported record revenues of approximately 7.2billionforQ12025,representinga77.2 billion for Q1 2025, representing a 7% year-over-year increase [24][29] - Non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) reached a record 2.38, up 12% year-over-year [23][26] - Non-GAAP gross margin was 48.9%, the highest quarterly gross margin since fiscal year 2000, up 100 basis points year-over-year [24][26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Semiconductor system sales were 5.36billion,up95.36 billion, up 9% year-over-year, driven by a 20% growth in foundry logic, while DRAM sales declined due to prior year sales to customers in China not repeating [26][30] - Applied Global Services (AGS) revenue was 1.59 billion, up 8% year-over-year, with healthy growth in services partially offset by a decline in sales of 200-millimeter equipment [27] - The display business generated revenue of 183million[28]MarketDataandKeyMetricsChangesTheglobalsemiconductorsalesgrewapproximately20183 million [28] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The global semiconductor sales grew approximately 20% year-on-year in 2024, with expectations to exceed 1 trillion in annual revenues by 2030 [8][9] - The impact of new trade rules is estimated to reduce revenue by approximately 400 million in fiscal 2025, with nearly half of that impact expected in Q2 [13][31] - China is anticipated to represent a smaller portion of global wafer fab equipment spending in 2025, with a projected revenue contribution about five percentage points lower than in Q1 [31][32] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on developing and commercializing enabling technologies across leading-edge logic, memory, advanced packaging, and ICAPS [14][19] - High-velocity co-innovation is emphasized as a key strategy to bring next-generation technology to market faster and at lower costs [17][21] - Significant investments in R&D are being made to grow share at the leading edge and to enhance capital investments for co-innovation [33][34] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in growth opportunities across all business segments, despite trade restrictions impacting near-term service growth [20][33] - The outlook for Q2 includes expected total revenue of approximately 7.1 billion, representing a 7% increase year-over-year, with non-GAAP EPS projected at 2.30,a102.30, a 10% increase year-over-year [32][34] - The company anticipates a return to growth in AGS in Q3 after a step back in Q2 due to trade restrictions [31][56] Other Important Information - The company distributed 1.6 billion to shareholders in the quarter, including 1.3billioninsharerepurchasesand1.3 billion in share repurchases and 326 million in dividends [24][29] - The construction of the EPIC Center in Silicon Valley is on track to be operational by 2026, serving as a global collaboration platform [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: Context on 2025 outlook by application and geography - Management indicated that leading-edge foundry logic is expected to grow strongly in Q2, offsetting a more measured investment level in ICAPS nodes [40][43] Question: Expectations for semiconductor systems growth - Management stated that growth in leading-edge is anticipated, but visibility on ICAPS remains uncertain [51][52] Question: Impact of China on AGS growth - Management clarified that approximately half of the impact from China will be felt in Q2, with expectations for AGS to grow at low double digits thereafter [56][57] Question: Gross margin expectations - Management reiterated a baseline gross margin of around 48%, with expectations for pricing to reflect the increasing value of solutions [61][62] Question: Confidence in customer forecasts - Management expressed high confidence in forecasts for larger customers, particularly in leading logic and DRAM segments, while noting lower visibility in ICAPS [124][125] Question: Expectations for DRAM growth excluding China - Management indicated continued momentum in DRAM, particularly in advanced compute performance systems [110][112] Question: Gate-all-around revenue expectations - Management maintained expectations for gate-all-around revenue to double in 2025, with continued growth anticipated beyond that [117][120]