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Exact Sciences(EXAS) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2024, Exact Sciences reported a revenue growth of 10%, or 11% on a core basis, with adjusted EBITDA increasing by 52% to 75million[10][14]Fullyearcorerevenuegrew1175 million [10][14] - Full-year core revenue grew 11% to 2.75 billion, with adjusted EBITDA margin expanding nearly 300 basis points [14][15] - The company ended the year with 1.04billionincashandsecurities,morethandoublingfreecashflow[15]BusinessLineDataandKeyMetricsChangesScreeningrevenueincreasedby141.04 billion in cash and securities, more than doubling free cash flow [15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Screening revenue increased by 14% to 553 million, driven by the adoption of Cologuard among providers and health systems [10][11] - Precision oncology revenue slightly increased to 161million,ledbyinternationaladoptionofOncotypeDX[11][12]AdjustedEBITDAmarginexpandednearly300basispointsduetovolumegrowthandexpensecontrols[12]MarketDataandKeyMetricsChangesThenumberofeligiblepatientsforCologuardtestsisexpectedtogrowby30161 million, led by international adoption of Oncotype DX [11][12] - Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded nearly 300 basis points due to volume growth and expense controls [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The number of eligible patients for Cologuard tests is expected to grow by 30% to 2 million in 2025, with rescreening rates at an all-time high [22] - Cologuard Plus is set to launch in Q2 2025, initially available to Medicare fee-for-service patients, representing about 15% of Cologuard volumes [17][91] - The company anticipates steady growth in Precision Oncology, particularly with Oncotype DX, and strong double-digit growth internationally [20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Exact Sciences aims to enhance its leadership in cancer diagnostics by leveraging its commercial engine and expanding its technology platform, ExactNexus [9][31] - The company plans to launch three new tests in 2025, focusing on colon cancer screening, MRD testing, and multi-cancer screening [38][98] - The strategy includes improving patient education and provider engagement to drive adoption of new tests [21][25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in 2025 being a productive year, driven by strong growth in Cologuard and the launch of new tests [49][50] - The company is optimistic about the impact of Cologuard Plus and the expansion of care gap programs on revenue growth [40][41] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining strong payer relationships and the potential for increased reimbursement rates [92][93] Other Important Information - The company recognized an 830 million non-cash impairment charge related to the Thrive acquisition, reflecting changes in external factors since the acquisition [13] - Exact Sciences has been recognized as a great place to work for six consecutive years, indicating strong employee engagement [7] Q&A Session Summary Question: What growth drivers are expected for Screening guidance? - Management highlighted rescreens, care gap programs, and the launch of Cologuard Plus as key growth drivers for the second half of the year [35][40] Question: Can you elaborate on the productivity and balance of product launches? - Management emphasized the capability of the team to manage multiple product launches while driving revenue growth and margin expansion [47][50] Question: What is the status of Cologuard Plus reimbursement? - Management confirmed Medicare pricing of $592 for Cologuard Plus and ongoing negotiations with commercial payers [91][92] Question: How does the company view the impact of the Braidwood case? - Management does not anticipate a significant impact on business, as payers remain motivated to maintain screening rates [146][147] Question: What is the expected contribution of MRD and Cancerguard to revenue? - Management expects MRD to have a near-term impact, followed by Cancerguard, with Cologuard Plus being the most significant contributor initially [97][98]