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Asia Technology_ Memory – False Dawn, No Recovery
2025-02-23 14:59

February 20, 2025 02:43 PM GMT Asia Technology | Asia Pacific Memory – False Dawn, No Recovery HBM revisions – more excess capacity. We update our HBM TAM analysis with the latest GPU/ASIC shipment numbers as well as improved yield rates from suppliers. We forecast 2025e HBM TAM at US29bnwhilecurrentcapacityimplies6629bn while current capacity implies 66% oversupply at full capacity. Our previous CoWoS implied GPU shipment scenario is our bull case, which implies a US81bn TAM in 2027e and our bear case assumes more aggressive pricing com ...