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APA(APA) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
APAAPA(APA)2025-02-27 19:55

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q4 2024, APA Corporation reported consolidated net income of 354millionor354 million or 0.96 per diluted share, with adjusted net income of 290millionor290 million or 0.79 per share [30][31] - The company generated 420millionoffreecashflowinQ42024,thehighestforanyquarterin2024,andreturned46420 million of free cash flow in Q4 2024, the highest for any quarter in 2024, and returned 46% of this amount to shareholders [32][33] - For the full year 2024, APA generated 841 million in free cash flow, returning 71% to shareholders [33][34] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the Permian Basin, APA's US business now comprises almost entirely unconventional assets, driving over 75% of current adjusted production [13][14] - The company achieved a breakeven oil price of 61perbarrelin2024,downfromCowens2023breakevenof61 per barrel in 2024, down from Cowen's 2023 breakeven of 78 per barrel [21] - In Egypt, the company improved its production profile through water flood activities, leading to a more predictable oil production profile [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - APA's average realized gas price is expected to increase from 2.96perMcfinQ42024toatleast2.96 per Mcf in Q4 2024 to at least 3.15 per Mcf in Q1 2025, with a full-year average expected in the 3.40to3.40 to 3.50 range [40] - The company anticipates generating a combined net gain of 600millionfor2025fromgastradingactivities[44][109]CompanyStrategyandDevelopmentDirectionAPACorporationisfocusedonenhancingthequalityandsustainabilityofitsportfolio,particularlyinthePermianBasinandEgypt,whilealsopursuingadifferentiatedexplorationstrategy[11][12]ThecompanyplanstorunaneightrigprograminthePermianandatwelverigprograminEgyptfor2025,withatotalcapitalbudgetof600 million for 2025 from gas trading activities [44][109] Company Strategy and Development Direction - APA Corporation is focused on enhancing the quality and sustainability of its portfolio, particularly in the Permian Basin and Egypt, while also pursuing a differentiated exploration strategy [11][12] - The company plans to run an eight-rig program in the Permian and a twelve-rig program in Egypt for 2025, with a total capital budget of 2.5 to 2.6billion[24][25]Costreductioninitiativesareexpectedtogenerateatleast2.6 billion [24][25] - Cost reduction initiatives are expected to generate at least 350 million in annualized savings by year-end 2027 [27][45] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the sustainability and predictability of production from the Permian and Egypt, with a focus on cost structure improvements [56][58] - The company aims to achieve BBB or better ratings from credit agencies, reflecting its strengthened balance sheet [34] - Management highlighted the importance of the gas program in Egypt, expecting year-over-year gas production growth for the first time in over a decade [39][92] Other Important Information - APA Corporation achieved a BBB- rating from S&P, marking its investment-grade status with all three rating agencies [13][34] - The company closed the sale of non-core conventional properties in the Permian Basin on December 31, 2024 [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Concerns about share performance despite strong cash flow - Management acknowledged the concerns and emphasized the transformation of their asset base, focusing on cost structure and sustainable inventory [55][56] Question: Share buybacks versus debt repayment - Management stated that they are working on both share buybacks and debt repayment, believing in the value of their shares [62][63] Question: Update on Alaska exploration - Operations in Alaska are progressing well, with no comments on pay zones yet, but management is optimistic about the results [68][69] Question: Productivity in Howard County - Management reported fantastic results in Howard County and plans to return for tighter well spacing [72][73] Question: Balancing rig activity between oil and gas in Egypt - Management indicated a strong start in gas drilling and plans to potentially shift more rigs to gas as results improve [92][94] Question: Receivable situation in Egypt - Management noted that past due balances have remained stable, with expectations for progress in 2025 [102][104] Question: Breakdown of gas trading revenue - Management provided a breakdown of expected gas trading revenue, with significant contributions from both pipeline trading and LNG contracts [108][109] Question: Structural changes in cost-cutting initiatives - Management detailed their approach to cost savings, emphasizing capital, LOE, and G&A as key areas for improvement [114][115]