Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference focused on the storage industry, particularly on DRAM and NAND technologies, as well as the emerging CUBE stacking storage technology [1][1]. Core Insights and Arguments - Storage Cycle: The storage cycle is currently at a low point, with recovery expected to take at least another quarter. A genuine recovery in the market is anticipated in the second half of the year, despite price increases by manufacturers in Q2 [1][1]. - DRAM Recovery: Niche DRAM is expected to see a recovery between July and August, but the attitude of mainland manufacturers remains uncertain [1][1]. - SLC NAND and NOR Flash: SLC NAND is experiencing a flat market, while NOR Flash prices are not expected to rise significantly in Q1 and Q2, with improvements projected for the second half of the year [1][1]. - Production Cuts: Major manufacturers like Samsung and Hynix have officially ceased DDR3 shipments, leading to limited DDR3 capacity, with Micron being the only significant player still producing [1][1]. DDR4 production has also been reduced to less than 20% of normal capacity, with a complete phase-out of 4Gb and below DDR4 products expected by year-end [1][1]. - Price Impact: The reduction in DDR3 production began to reflect in prices last year, but high inventory levels among Taiwanese and mainland manufacturers have prevented significant price increases [1][1][2]. Additional Important Content - CUBE Stacking Storage: CUBE is a simplified 3D stacking technology that offers lower performance compared to HBM. The pricing for leading manufacturers in Taiwan and mainland China is around $1.5 per GB, with a 20nm process [3][3]. - Cost Implications for AI Devices: The integration of CUBE in AI smartphones adds approximately 200 RMB to the cost per unit, with specific configurations in robotics showing a value of around $3 + $14 [3][3]. - Profit Distribution: In terms of profit sharing, a storage company in Beijing is expected to capture all profits from the SOC side and 60-90% of profits from the CUBE side, while Taiwanese leaders are unable to penetrate the security and robotics sectors [3][3]. - Potential Applications: CUBE technology may also find applications in AI glasses, security, smartphones, and ASICs [3][3].
未知机构:DW电子存储周期堆叠存储会议梳理近期我们安排了存储专家会-20250304
2025-03-04 02:05