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Open Lending(LPRO) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For fiscal year 2024, the company generated 110,652 certified loans, 24millioninrevenue,andadjustedEBITDAofnegative24 million in revenue, and adjusted EBITDA of negative 42.9 million, largely due to fourth quarter results and the impact of a negative change in estimate [10][41] - Total revenue for Q4 2024 was negative 56.9million,whichincludesanegativechangeinestimateof56.9 million, which includes a negative change in estimate of 81.3 million associated with profit share revenue [36][39] - Net loss for Q4 2024 was 144.4million,comparedtoanetlossof144.4 million, compared to a net loss of 4.8 million in Q4 2023, with net loss per share at 1.21comparedtoanetlossof1.21 compared to a net loss of 0.04 per share in the prior year [39][40] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company facilitated 26,065 certified loans in Q4 2024, a slight decrease from 26,263 certified loans in Q4 2023 [35] - Profit share revenue in Q4 2024 associated with new originations was 8.2millionor8.2 million or 314 per certified loan, compared to 13.2millionor13.2 million or 501 per certified loan in Q4 2023 [38] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Mannheim Used Vehicle Value Index (MOVIE) declined from 257.7% in late 2021 to 204.1% as of February 2025, representing a more than 20% decline in used vehicle values over the past three to four years [12][13] - The company observed an increase in 60-plus day delinquencies in Q4 2024, particularly from the 2021 and 2022 vintages [14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on strategic efforts to drive new customer acquisitions and certified loan growth while optimizing profitability for lenders and insurance partners [6][25] - Management plans to implement a sophisticated, segmented, and real-time data-driven pricing model to enhance predictability of profit share revenue [33][34] - The company aims to reduce the mix of borrowers with credit builder trade lines from approximately 15% in fiscal 2024 to under 5% in fiscal 2025 [23] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the challenging macroeconomic environment and the need for credit tightening and pricing adjustments to drive revenue [42] - The outlook for Q1 2025 expects total certified loans to be between 27,000 and 28,000, indicating a sequential increase from Q4 2024 [26] Other Important Information - The company announced a leadership change, with Jessica Buss becoming the new CEO, focusing on profitable unit economics and growth [27][30] - The company has signed 58 new customers in 2024 for its Lenders Protection Program, indicating strong market interest [25] Q&A Session Summary Question: Overview of Open Lending's situation from an insurance perspective - Management emphasized the need for a more insurance-like approach to pricing and operations to enhance profitability and reduce volatility [52][53] Question: Infrastructure and investment needed for changes - Management indicated that existing infrastructure is adequate, but improvements in data collection and predictive modeling are necessary [60][63] Question: Impact of credit builder trade lines on addressable market - Management noted that credit builder trade lines represented a small portion of the business and corrective actions have been taken to minimize their impact [78] Question: Insurance carriers' capacity and profitability - Management confirmed that insurance carriers have ample capacity to support future growth and that their long-term profitability remains strong [90][102] Question: Profit share per certified loan and future expectations - Management indicated that the current profit share per certified loan is constrained at around $300, with expectations to return to historical levels as performance improves [104][106] Question: Effects of tariffs on used car prices and affordability - Management noted that tariffs could positively impact the back book by increasing collateral prices but acknowledged the need for careful pricing adjustments to avoid future volatility [109]