纽威股份20250423

Summary of Nuwai Co., Ltd. Conference Call Company Overview - Nuwai Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 6.2 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 13%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.2 billion yuan, up 60% year-on-year, driven by growth in overseas markets, particularly in the Middle East and the LNG industry [1][2][5] Key Financial Metrics - Gross margin significantly improved to 38%, reaching 41.6% in Q4, attributed to product mix optimization, favorable steel prices, exchange rates, and enhanced management efficiency [1][4] - The company expects a net profit of 1.45 billion yuan for 2025, a 25% increase year-on-year, with a mid-term target of 10 billion yuan in revenue and a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around 15% by 2028 [1][5] Market Dynamics - Nuwai's performance has become less correlated with oil prices, benefiting from domestic refining projects, the development of the photovoltaic industry, and breakthroughs in overseas markets, especially in the context of changing LNG energy supply dynamics and growing demand in the Middle East [1][6][8] - The company has diversified its operations and expanded into downstream sectors such as nuclear power and water treatment, providing a stable growth trajectory [1][8] Regional Performance - Domestic revenue for 2024 was 2.4 billion yuan, down 3% year-on-year, while overseas revenue reached 3.8 billion yuan, up 26% year-on-year, driven by sustained demand in the Middle East and recovery post-pandemic [2][4] Competitive Positioning - Compared to peers, Nuwai's full industry chain layout reduces sensitivity to oil price fluctuations, with significant growth in the Middle East due to "Belt and Road" initiatives and cost-reduction demands [3][9] - The impact of U.S. tariffs is limited, as the U.S. market accounts for only about 8% of overseas revenue, and the company has established production bases in Vietnam and Saudi Arabia to mitigate tariff effects [10] Future Growth Drivers - Key growth drivers include a robust order backlog and rapid growth in new orders, with a conservative estimate of over 30% profit growth in Q1 2025 due to a low base from the previous year [5][6] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from increased project volumes from Chinese EPC contractors in the Middle East, with an estimated market space of around 1 billion USD [12][13] Notable Highlights - Nuwai is a leader in underwater valve technology, being the first domestic company to obtain deep-water certification, and has established long-term strategic agreements with major players [14] - The company is enhancing its automation and smart technology capabilities in the valve sector, with plans for mergers or independent R&D to improve revenue and profitability [14] Overall Assessment - Nuwai Co., Ltd. is characterized by its technological leadership, low valuation, and stable growth, with unique competitive advantages in the oil service chain industry. The projected profit for 2025 is 1.45 billion yuan, corresponding to a valuation of 14 times earnings, with a mid-term goal of 10 billion yuan in revenue and a CAGR of approximately 15% [15]