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Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance(ARI) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance reported distributable earnings of 33millionor33 million or 0.24 per share for Q1 2025, with GAAP net income of 23millionor23 million or 0.16 per diluted share, providing 96% coverage of the quarterly dividends [15][16] - The loan portfolio ended the quarter with a carrying value of 7.7billion,upfrom7.7 billion, up from 7.1 billion at year-end, with a weighted average yield of 7.9% [17][19] - The debt-to-equity ratio at quarter end was 3.5x, up from 3.2x at year-end, reflecting the recirculation of proceeds from repayments into new leveraged deals [22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The first quarter saw continued velocity in loan originations, with 650millionofnewloanscommitted,primarilysecuredbyresidentialpropertiesandadatacenterconstructionloan[9][10]Loanrepaymentstotaled650 million of new loans committed, primarily secured by residential properties and a data center construction loan [9][10] - Loan repayments totaled 93 million during the quarter, which were quickly redeployed through new origination post-quarter end, amounting to 709millionintotalcommitmentsonnewloansinQ2todate[18][20]MarketDataandKeyMetricsChangesTherealestatemarketisexperiencingmodestspreadwideningandamorecautioustone,withabroadrecessionpresentingthegreatestrisktoongoingrecovery[7][8]Limitednewsupplyduetotariffeffectsdrivingupconstructioncostsisexpectedtopositivelyimpactlongtermrealestatevaluesandfundamentals[8]CompanyStrategyandDevelopmentDirectionThecompanyisfocusedonproactiveassetmanagementandexecutingplansonfocusloanstomaximizevaluerecoveryandconvertcapitalintohigherreturnopportunities[13]Thestrategyincludesfinancingdevelopersofdatacenterswithstrongcredittenantsandlongtermleases,reflectingacommitmenttosectorswithstrongseculartailwinds[10][11]ManagementsCommentsonOperatingEnvironmentandFutureOutlookManagementexpressedconfidenceintheloanportfoliosabilitytoproducedistributableearningsthatsupportthecurrentquarterlydividendrunrate,despiteQ1earningsbeingslightlybelowthisrate[14][16]Thecompanyanticipatesarecoveryindistributableearningsfortheremainingquartersof2025,drivenbygrowthintheloanportfolioandrecirculationofunderperformingcapital[16]OtherImportantInformationThecompanyhasdefinedpathwaysforeachfocusassetandisactivelypursuingresolutions,withafocusonsellingtheLibertyCenterassetinthelatterpartoftheyear[28]Thecompanyendedthequarterwith709 million in total commitments on new loans in Q2 to date [18][20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The real estate market is experiencing modest spread widening and a more cautious tone, with a broad recession presenting the greatest risk to ongoing recovery [7][8] - Limited new supply due to tariff effects driving up construction costs is expected to positively impact long-term real estate values and fundamentals [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on proactive asset management and executing plans on focus loans to maximize value recovery and convert capital into higher return opportunities [13] - The strategy includes financing developers of data centers with strong credit tenants and long-term leases, reflecting a commitment to sectors with strong secular tailwinds [10][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the loan portfolio's ability to produce distributable earnings that support the current quarterly dividend run rate, despite Q1 earnings being slightly below this rate [14][16] - The company anticipates a recovery in distributable earnings for the remaining quarters of 2025, driven by growth in the loan portfolio and recirculation of underperforming capital [16] Other Important Information - The company has defined pathways for each focus asset and is actively pursuing resolutions, with a focus on selling the Liberty Center asset in the latter part of the year [28] - The company ended the quarter with 218 million of total liquidity, comprised of cash on hand and committed undrawn credit capacity [22] Q&A Session Summary Question: Concerns about realizing losses on non-accruing assets - Management indicated that specific CECL allowances are tied to two assets, with plans to sell Liberty Center later this year and positive sales momentum for 111 West 57th Street [26][28] Question: Market impacts on loan repayments and new money deployment - Management noted that the market remains robust, with no anticipated slowdown in transactions despite recent volatility [34][36] Question: Updates on specific assets and portfolio growth - Management provided updates on various assets, indicating positive leasing activity and potential recapitalization strategies for the Manhattan office [56][63] Question: Exposure in the U.K. and Europe - Management explained that the company's European operations were established through relationships with U.S. sponsors and have developed a strong presence in the market over the past decade [87][90]