小家电行业专题报告：走出低谷，拥抱内需

Summary of the Small Home Appliance Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The small home appliance industry is experiencing a recovery driven by national subsidy policies, with kitchen small appliances sales expected to grow by 5.8% year-on-year in Q4 2024, despite a 0.8% decline in total sales for the year. [1][2] - Online sales in Q1 2025 showed a significant improvement, with a year-on-year increase of 23.4%, indicating a market rebound influenced by a low base effect. [1][2] Key Insights - The kitchen small appliance market is anticipated to enter a replacement cycle, with essential products like rice cookers and air fryers seeing a resurgence in growth. New categories such as health-oriented products and Western-style cooking appliances are also growing rapidly. [1][4] - The personal care small appliance market is stabilizing, with Feike maintaining its market share while competitors like Philips are losing ground. This presents a potential opportunity for Feike to benefit from a more favorable competitive landscape. [1][5] - The competitive environment for small home appliances is improving, aided by platform optimization measures that reduce operational costs for merchants, thereby enhancing profit margins. [1][6] Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the small home appliance sector saw a general improvement in performance due to enhanced demand, product upgrades, and better channel management. [3][9] - The first quarter of 2025 is expected to show continued revenue improvement, with profits projected to grow significantly due to low base effects in the first three quarters. [10][11] Investment Recommendations - The investment outlook for the small home appliance industry is positive, with expectations of continued demand improvement driven by policy support and a replacement cycle. [11] - Recommended companies include Supor, which has a strong fundamental outlook, and potential turnaround candidates like Bear Electric, Feike, and Beiding. [2][11] Additional Considerations - The average lifespan of kitchen small appliances is 3-5 years, suggesting a concentrated replacement cycle during the subsidy period. [4] - The introduction of new subsidy categories for small appliances is expected to further stimulate demand in retail stores. [4] - The trend towards differentiated consumption scenarios and new consumer groups is likely to drive innovation and price recovery in the personal care segment. [5]