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LGI Homes(LGIH) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for Q1 2025 was 351.4million,a10.1351.4 million, a 10.1% decrease year-over-year, driven by an 8% decline in home closings and a 2.2% decline in average sales price (ASP) [10][11] - Gross margin for Q1 2025 was 21%, down from 23.4% in the same period last year, primarily due to a one-time expense related to the forward commitment incentive program [11][12] - Net income for Q1 2025 was 4 million, or 0.17pershare,comparedtoahigherfigureinthepreviousyear[14]BusinessLineDataandKeyMetricsChangesThecompanydelivered996homesinQ12025atanaveragesalespriceof0.17 per share, compared to a higher figure in the previous year [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company delivered 996 homes in Q1 2025 at an average sales price of 352,831 [5][10] - The company recognized a one-time expense of 8.6millionrelatedtotheforwardcommitmentincentiveprogram,impactingrevenueandgrossmargins[10][11]ThecancellationrateforQ1was16.38.6 million related to the forward commitment incentive program, impacting revenue and gross margins [10][11] - The cancellation rate for Q1 was 16.3%, slightly improved from 16.8% in the same period last year [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company ended Q1 with 1,040 homes in backlog, representing over 406.2 million [14] - The top markets based on closings per community were Richmond (5.3), Charlotte (4.6), Raleigh (4.3), Atlanta (3.8), and Nashville (3.6) [6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on addressing the persistent shortage of entry-level homes, which is seen as a societal challenge and a long-term growth opportunity [9] - The company plans to maintain its full-year guidance of closing between 21,000 to 23,000 homes, with an average selling price between 360,000and360,000 and 370,000 [18] - The company is adjusting its gross margin expectations downward by 100 to 150 basis points due to anticipated cost increases from tariffs and market uncertainties [18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that affordability remains the biggest challenge for buyers, with rate volatility affecting their purchasing confidence [4][5] - Despite recent headwinds, management expressed confidence in the long-term outlook for the housing market, citing strong underlying demographic fundamentals [9] - Management highlighted that the sales pace improved in March, indicating a potential recovery as the spring selling season began [5][36] Other Important Information - The company ended Q1 with 1.6billionindebtandadebttocapratioof44.31.6 billion in debt and a debt-to-cap ratio of 44.3% [16] - The company repurchased 41,685 shares for 3.1 million during the quarter, with $177.7 million remaining on its stock buyback authorization [16][72] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide more details on the gross margin trajectory for the upcoming quarters? - Management indicated that gross margins are expected to ramp up as volume increases, with adjustments made due to tariffs and market conditions [21][22][85] Question: What is driving the need for increased incentives? - Management noted that the competitive market dynamics and the need to assist buyers with closing costs and rate buy-downs are driving the increase in incentives [26][29] Question: How confident is the company in achieving its full-year closing targets? - Management expressed confidence in achieving the closing targets, citing improved sales trends in March and ongoing demand [36][39] Question: How is the company responding to competitors cutting prices? - Management stated that the company is cautious about discounting prices and focuses on providing value through incentives rather than steep discounts [78][81] Question: What interest rates are being offered through the forward commitment program? - Management mentioned that they are currently buying down rates to the mid-5% range for FHA loans with good credit [80]