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Trane Technologies(TT) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved 11% organic revenue growth, 130 basis points of adjusted EBITDA margin expansion, and 26% adjusted EPS growth in Q1 2025 [6][13][20] - Bookings increased by 4%, with a book-to-bill ratio of 113% for the enterprise and 100% or more across all segments [6][10] - The backlog increased by approximately $500 million from year-end 2024, including about $400 million in the Americas commercial HVAC business [6][10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the Americas segment, commercial HVAC bookings set a new quarterly record, with mid-teens growth in equipment and low-teens growth in services [9][10] - Residential bookings were up mid-teens, and revenues increased by high-teens [10] - Transport refrigeration bookings were down low single digits, but revenues were up mid single digits, outperforming a market decline of around 25% [10] - In the EMEA segment, commercial HVAC bookings were up mid-teens, with revenues up mid single digits [10] - In Asia Pacific, bookings and revenues in the rest of Asia were strong, up double digits and low 20s respectively, while in China, bookings and revenues were down low 30s and high 20s respectively [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Americas commercial HVAC market showed broad-based strength across various verticals, including data centers, healthcare, and education [30][56] - The EMEA transport markets are expected to decline low single digits in 2025, while the Asia market outlook remains flat overall [19][19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company focuses on a purpose-driven strategy that emphasizes innovation for a sustainable world, aiming to deliver differentiated shareholder value [4][5] - The direct sales strategy allows the company to capture more market opportunities and consistently outperform end markets [7] - The company is targeting total Americas commercial HVAC three-year stacked revenue growth of approximately 50% for 2025 [16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in delivering results towards the higher end of full-year revenue and EPS guidance ranges [8][20] - The company anticipates modest cost inflation but is well-prepared to manage it while minimizing customer impact [8][21] - The outlook for residential markets is expected to return to a GDP-plus framework in 2025, with no anticipated dip in volume due to pre-buy concerns [17][41] Other Important Information - The company deployed approximately $775 million through its balanced capital allocation strategy in Q1 2025, including $210 million to dividends and $550 million to share repurchases [24] - The Board of Directors approved a 12% dividend raise effective with the first quarter payment, with dividends having grown nearly 80% since the company's inception [24] Q&A Session Summary Question: Changes in commercial HVAC markets and demand - Management noted strong order rates in commercial HVAC, with broad-based strength across verticals such as data centers and healthcare, and a robust pipeline [30][31] Question: Pricing actions to offset tariff headwinds - Management explained that they are implementing price increases and surcharges to offset estimated tariff costs of $250 million to $275 million, while remaining flexible in pricing strategies [35][36] Question: Demand concentration in specific verticals - Management confirmed that growth is broad-based across 14 verticals, with no significant concentration in any one area [56] Question: European margins and investment cycle - Management indicated that significant reinvestment is ongoing in Europe, with strong order rates in commercial HVAC, and they expect margins to bounce back [92][93] Question: Impact of tariffs on pricing and guidance - Management clarified that tariff costs are not currently embedded in revenue guidance, and they will adjust guidance as more clarity on the tariff landscape emerges [112][114]