Organon & (US:OGN)2025-02-13 17:47Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For the full year 2024, revenue was $6.4 billion, representing a 3% growth rate at constant currency, marking the third consecutive year of constant currency revenue growth [7] - Adjusted EBITDA was $1.96 billion, with a 30.6% adjusted EBITDA margin; excluding IPR&D, the margin was 31.8%, reflecting a half-point margin expansion over the previous year [8][47] - The company expects 2025 revenue to range from $6.125 billion to $6.325 billion, with an approximate $200 million headwind from foreign currency [9][56] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The women's health franchise grew 5% ex-exchange, driven by Nexplanon, which saw a 17% increase ex-FX, positioning it for at least $1 billion in revenue in 2025 [11][12] - The fertility franchise declined by 2% ex-exchange in 2024, impacted by a late 2023 buy-in and offset by growth in new launches in various regions [15] - The biosimilars franchise grew 12% at constant currency, with expectations of mid-single-digit declines in 2025 due to mature products [16][17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Outside the U.S., strong growth was noted in the LAMERA region, particularly in Brazil and the U.K. [12] - The U.S. market benefited from Nexplanon's leadership and pricing strategies, including management of the 340B discount program [12] - The company anticipates a $200 million impact from foreign exchange in 2025, reflecting the strengthening U.S. dollar [60] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to demonstrate resiliency in its base business, capture efficiencies, consistently deploy capital, and deliver on growth products and pipeline [22][25] - The focus is on profitable growth, with a commitment to regular dividends as the top capital allocation priority [24][52] - The company plans to launch a Denosumab biosimilar in collaboration with Shanghai Henlius, pending FDA approval [17][33] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about Nexplanon's future growth, especially with the potential five-year indication submitted to the FDA [13] - The company expects to manage through the loss of exclusivity of Atozet in Europe while offsetting it with growth in other products [9][57] - Management highlighted the potential for continued constant currency revenue growth in 2025 despite challenges [68] Other Important Information - The company achieved $967 million of free cash flow before one-time costs in 2024, with expectations of around $900 million for 2025 [48][75] - One-time spin-related costs were $160 million in 2024, with expectations for these costs to be essentially zero in 2025 [50] - The adjusted gross margin for 2025 is expected to be in the range of 60% to 61%, reflecting ongoing pricing pressures [61] Q&A Session Summary Question: Free cash flow estimate for 2025 and biosimilar opportunity for Denosumab - The company expects around $900 million of free cash flow before one-time items for 2025, with confidence in the denosumab biosimilar launch later in Q4 [75][76] Question: Status of Nexplanon and future growth ambitions - No paragraph four filing for Nexplanon has been received, and management is confident that no generics will enter the U.S. market before 2030 [80][85] Question: Competitive landscape for Vtama and margin improvements - Vtama has shown strong growth, with a 51% increase in NRX, and is expected to be a significant contributor to growth [92] - Margin improvements from manufacturing separation from Merck are anticipated to be around 250 to 300 basis points starting in 2027 [96] Question: Future plans for the dermatology business and net leverage targets - The company aims to build out its dermatology portfolio beyond Vtama and expects to reduce net leverage to below four times by the end of 2026 [106][107]