微软、Meta业绩超预期,看好受益产业链
2025-05-06 02:27

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The PCB sector in A-shares is projected to achieve revenue of 235.9 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.3%, with a net profit of 16.3 billion yuan, up 34.7% [1] - In Q1 2025, the PCB sector continued its growth trend, with revenue reaching 62.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.37 billion yuan, up 55.7% [2] Company Performance - Microsoft reported Q1 2025 revenue of $70 billion, exceeding expectations, with a net profit growth of 18% and EPS surpassing market expectations by approximately 10% [3][4] - Microsoft's Q2 revenue guidance is set between $73.2 billion and $74.2 billion, higher than market expectations [4] - Azure's growth rate is expected to be between 34% and 35%, with some forecasts suggesting it could reach around 40% [4] - Meta's Q1 revenue was $42.3 billion, a 16% year-on-year increase, with net profit rising 35%. The company raised its 2025 capital expenditure guidance to $64-72 billion [4] Market Dynamics - Nvidia has increased orders due to anticipated tariff issues, which is expected to drive growth in AI PCB performance in Q2 [5] - Amazon's Q1 e-commerce revenue exceeded 40%, but Q2 operating profit guidance fell short of expectations due to tariff impacts, with projected operating profit between $13 billion and $17.5 billion, compared to market expectations of $17.6 billion [6] - Google's performance met expectations, with no increase in capital expenditure [6] Tariff Impact - Tariffs have affected major tech companies, with Amazon's Q2 operating profit being lower than expected due to these impacts. Apple also reported an increase in costs by approximately $900 million [7][8] - The actual impact of tariffs and economic data from June and July will need to be monitored to assess their effects on the industry [8] Capital Expenditure Trends - For 2025, major DSPs are unlikely to adjust capital expenditures significantly, even with the implementation of tariffs. Amazon's e-commerce business is most affected, but prior inventory levels may mitigate tariff pressures [9] - Google and Meta's advertising businesses are correlated with macroeconomic conditions, and tariff impacts will take time to reflect in their performance [9] AI Chip Market Developments - Nvidia faces challenges with product iterations, with revenue guidance for Supermicro being lowered from $5-6 billion to $4.5-4.6 billion [11] - New products from AMD and Google are expected to launch soon, which may help close the gap with Nvidia's Blackwell chips [12] - Companies like AMD, Broadcom, and related firms are seen as competitive in the AI chip market, with a focus on maintaining competitiveness despite Nvidia's challenges [13]