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American Electric Power(AEP) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported first quarter 2025 operating earnings of 1.54pershare,totaling1.54 per share, totaling 823 million, which is a 20% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [9][24] - The company reaffirmed its 2025 operating earnings guidance range of 5.75to5.75 to 5.95 per share, with a long-term operating earnings growth rate of 6% to 8% [9][39] - GAAP earnings for the first quarter were 1.50pershare,downfrom1.50 per share, down from 1.91 per share in 2024, primarily due to a charge related to the write-off of deferred costs [22][23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Operating earnings for vertically integrated utilities were 0.66pershare,up0.66 per share, up 0.09 from the previous year, driven by favorable weather and rate changes [25] - The transmission and distribution utilities segment earned 0.36pershare,up0.36 per share, up 0.07 from last year, supported by rate changes and higher transmission revenue [25] - Generation and marketing produced 0.14pershare,up0.14 per share, up 0.02 from last year, with favorable retail and wholesale margins [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company experienced a 12.3% growth in commercial load in the first quarter of 2025 compared to the same period last year [10] - Total retail load growth is expected to accelerate from 3% in 2024 to nearly 9% in 2025, marking the largest growth rate since the late 1960s [28] - The company anticipates annual retail load growth of between 8% to 9% through 2027, equating to approximately 52 million incremental megawatt hours [28] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is committed to investing 54billionoverthenextfiveyearstomeettheneedsof5.6millioncustomersacross11states[5][9]Thecapitalplanincludescustomercommitmentsforover20gigawattsofincrementalloadby2030,drivenbydatacenterdemandandeconomicdevelopment[11][12]Thecompanyisfocusedonreducingregulatorylagandenhancingcustomeraffordabilitythroughproactiveregulatoryfilingsandlegislativesupport[19][20]ManagementsCommentsonOperatingEnvironmentandFutureOutlookManagementexpressedconfidenceinthecompanysgrowthpotential,citingsignificantdemandforpowerandarobustpipelineofprojects[16][20]Thecompanyiswellpositionedtoparticipateintheelectricinfrastructuresupercycle,withafocusonmeetingincreasingelectricdemand[16]Managementhighlightedtheimportanceofmaintainingastrongbalancesheettosupportcapitalspendingneedsandfuturegrowthopportunities[9][36]OtherImportantInformationThecompanyhassecuredapproximately8054 billion over the next five years to meet the needs of 5.6 million customers across 11 states [5][9] - The capital plan includes customer commitments for over 20 gigawatts of incremental load by 2030, driven by data center demand and economic development [11][12] - The company is focused on reducing regulatory lag and enhancing customer affordability through proactive regulatory filings and legislative support [19][20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's growth potential, citing significant demand for power and a robust pipeline of projects [16][20] - The company is well-positioned to participate in the electric infrastructure super cycle, with a focus on meeting increasing electric demand [16] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining a strong balance sheet to support capital spending needs and future growth opportunities [9][36] Other Important Information - The company has secured approximately 80% of its rate-related revenue for 2025, indicating strong regulatory support [16][17] - A significant equity issuance of 2.3 billion was completed to address anticipated equity needs through 2029 [22][36] - The company is actively engaged in legislative efforts to improve recovery and customer affordability [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: How are conversations going in West Virginia regarding securitization? - Management reported positive discussions and is optimistic about achieving a favorable outcome in the upcoming hearings [42][44] Question: Are there any pullbacks from hyperscalers like Microsoft? - Management noted that despite Microsoft's delay, there is still robust demand from other customers, with over 500 existing and potential customers looking to connect to the system [46][48] Question: How does the company reconcile current sales trends against the 2025 forecast? - Management indicated that while near-term earnings impacts may be muted, the rapid addition of commercial and industrial load creates additional growth opportunities [52][54] Question: What is the impact of Ohio's new legislation on the company's regulatory strategy? - Management expressed that the new legislation supports capital investment growth and promotes timely recovery of investments, which is advantageous for the company [56][58] Question: How will the company finance the potential $10 billion upside in capital spending? - Management stated that they have already prefunded much of their equity needs and have various levers to pull, including potential asset sales and hybrid financing options [104][106]