Ellington Financial(EFC)2025-02-28 19:43Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2024, the company reported net income of $0.25 per share and adjusted distributable earnings (ADE) of $0.45 per share, which comfortably covered the quarterly dividend of $0.39 per share [7][19] - The ADE increased from $0.28 per share in Q1 2024 to $0.45 per share in Q4 2024, reflecting a 25% year-over-year growth in the credit portfolio [44] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Longbridge reverse mortgage segment performed excellently, contributing $0.30 per share to net income, while the credit portfolio generated $0.32 per share [19] - The credit portfolio increased by 5% to $3.42 billion, driven by net purchases of closed-end seconds, HELOCs, commercial mortgage bridge loans, and non-agency RMBS [24] - The Longbridge portfolio decreased by 15% sequentially to $420 million due to the impact of proprietary reverse mortgage securitization [25] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The agency strategy generated a modest loss due to rising interest rates and volatility around the presidential election, impacting Agency RMBS performance [22] - The overall debt-to-equity ratio increased to 8.8:1 from 8.3:1, while the recourse debt-to-equity ratio remained unchanged at 1.8:1 [26] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to continue leveraging its vertical integration to grow its loan origination business and maintain a focus on credit investments rather than agency securities [30][79] - The strategic use of securitizations is viewed as a core competitive advantage, expected to drive strong earnings and support dividend coverage [14][58] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted an uptick in residential loan delinquencies, particularly in the non-QM portfolio, but does not expect material losses due to strong underlying real estate security [39] - The company remains optimistic about the demand for proprietary reverse mortgage products and anticipates continued ADE growth to cover dividends moving forward [45] Other Important Information - The company completed four securitization transactions in Q4, capitalizing on favorable market conditions, which included two non-QM deals and a proprietary reverse mortgage securitization [10][12] - The total weighted average borrowing rate on recourse borrowings decreased by 56 basis points to 6.21% due to lower short-term interest rates and tighter financing spreads [25] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about some of the originator investments and the appetite for non-QM given the commentary around delinquencies? - Management indicated that they have been making small investments in platforms where they have established relationships and can help lower warehousing costs and improve underwriting processes [63][64] Question: Can you contextualize the earnings expectations for Longbridge? - Management suggested a long-term run rate target of approximately $0.09 per share per quarter for Longbridge, with Q4 exceeding this expectation [68][70] Question: Why isn't the agency portfolio more attractive at current valuations? - Management explained that while the agency sector has been good, they believe their capital can be better utilized in credit-focused investments that leverage their vertical integration [76][79] Question: Is there an expectation from investors to buy loans out of the securitization trust? - Management clarified that they expect to work out and resolve loans while they remain in the securitization, rather than buying them out [84] Question: What is the current run rate for net interest income? - Management indicated that the net interest income seen in Q4 is a good run rate moving forward, supported by ongoing improvements in liability management [91][92] Question: What is the impact of staffing cuts at HUD on Longbridge? - Management acknowledged the uncertainty but emphasized that their proprietary business has been driving earnings, and they will have to wait and see how regulatory changes unfold [121][123]