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Primerica(PRI) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
PrimericaPrimerica(US:PRI)2025-05-08 15:00

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted net operating income for Q1 2025 was $168 million, up 14% year over year, while diluted adjusted operating EPS increased 20% to $5.2 [4] - Total stockholder returns during the quarter amounted to $153 million, comprising $118 million in share repurchases and $35 million in regular dividends [4] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Term Life segment operating revenues rose 4% year over year to $458 million, driven by a 5% growth in adjusted direct premiums [13] - ISP segment total sales were $3.6 billion, up 28% year over year, with net inflows of $839 million compared to $274 million in the prior year [8][9] - The mortgage business in the U.S. saw closed loans of $93.5 million, up 31%, while Canada reported $43.3 million in closed loans, up 78% [10][11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The total number of life license representatives grew slightly since year-end, up 7% compared to March 2024 [6] - Client asset values at the end of the quarter were $110 billion, up 6% year over year, despite a 2% decline in the first three months of 2025 due to negative market performance [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company remains committed to growing its sales force, expecting around 3% growth during 2025 [6] - The focus on financial education for middle-income families is emphasized as a key driver of success, with a belief in the ongoing need for such services [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that economic uncertainty has impacted recruiting and term life insurance sales, leading to a 9% decline in recruiting year over year [5] - The company anticipates that the current uncertainty may persist, affecting decision-making and sales momentum [27][34] Other Important Information - The company maintains a full-year outlook for expenses to increase by around $40 million or 6% to 8% in 2025 [19] - The RBC ratio improved to 470%, reflecting a strong capital position to support growth and absorb uncertainties [21][45] Q&A Session Summary Question: Dynamic between Term Life sales and ISP sales - Management explained that the complementary business model allows different reactions to economic conditions, with term life sales facing more immediate pressure from cost of living while ISP sales remain strong due to demand for guarantees [24][25] Question: ISP sales outlook for the year - The outlook for ISP sales growth is lower than the first quarter due to ongoing economic uncertainty and strong comparisons from the previous year [28][29] Question: Recruiting environment - Management noted that uncertainty can slow down recruiting as potential recruits take more time to consider their options [36][37] Question: Health of the economy in Canada - Management indicated that the Canadian economy is similar to the U.S. economy, with both facing uncertainty, but expressed optimism about future growth in Canada [50][53] Question: Stock repurchase program - The company confirmed a stock repurchase program of $450 million for 2025, emphasizing a consistent return on capital for stockholders [55][56] Question: Lapse rates in the term business - Management reported that lapse rates have stabilized and are in line with expectations, despite some recent increases [75][76] Question: ISP business sales sustainability - Management acknowledged the challenges of market volatility but expressed confidence in the sustainability of ISP sales levels [80][81]