智能驾驶系列电话会议——芯片

Summary of Conference Call on Intelligent Driving Chips Industry Overview - The domestic mid-tier intelligent driving chip market is primarily dominated by Horizon Robotics' Journey 6 series, which strikes a balance between performance and price, making it widely adopted by mainstream OEMs. Qualcomm and NVIDIA solutions are used less frequently [1][2] - The high-end market is mainly led by NVIDIA's Orin series chips, but Horizon has introduced a full-stack high-end solution, HSD, based on G6P, gaining some market share due to cost advantages and superior performance [1][2] - Qualcomm's 8,775 chip is positioned for the mid-to-low-end market, expected to be deployed in the second half of 2025, but OEMs show limited willingness to adopt it due to the challenges of simultaneous development of cockpit and intelligent driving systems [1][5] Key Insights - The domestic vehicle chip design sector has largely achieved independence, but the production side still relies on foreign foundries, limiting the localization rate of mid-tier and high-end chips. The future trend is to enhance design independence and seek more production collaborations [1][6] - NIO is making the fastest progress in self-developed chips, having implemented its self-developed ZAM chip in the ET9 model, improving computing power utilization and reducing costs, although it faces challenges in capacity and R&D costs [1][7] Market Dynamics - The domestic vehicle chip market can be segmented into low, mid, and high tiers. The low tier includes basic L2 functions, while the mid-tier has expanded to high-speed NOA, which has become mainstream following BYD's intelligent driving strategy [2] - The pricing trend for mainstream vehicle chips is generally declining, with low-tier chips around $20, mid-tier chips like Horizon's 6M at approximately $70, and high-end chips like NVIDIA's Orin X exceeding $300 [3][17] Competitive Landscape - The low-tier market is primarily led by Horizon, Mobileye, and Bosch, with Horizon's share expected to increase. The mid-tier market is dominated by the Journey 6 series, which is projected to capture a significant portion of the domestic OEM market in the next two years [18] - In the high-end market, NVIDIA still holds the largest share, with a small portion allocated to Qualcomm's 8,650 and Horizon's HSD solution [18] Self-Developed Chips - NIO is the fastest in self-development, with its ZAM chip already in use, while other companies like XPeng and Li Auto are at different stages of development. The advantages of self-developed chips include better software-hardware coupling and cost savings [7][9] - However, self-developed chips face disadvantages such as limited manufacturing capacity and high R&D costs, which could lead to higher costs compared to externally sourced chips if sales volumes are insufficient [8][9] Future Trends - The trend towards self-developed chips is not expected to be prevalent among traditional automakers like Geely and Chery due to their complex R&D systems and high investment risks. In contrast, emerging companies like NIO and XPeng are more inclined to pursue self-development as it aligns with their brand identity [9][10] - The integration of cockpit and intelligent driving functions is currently less common due to high performance requirements and rapid iteration speeds, with a trend towards separating these functions until higher-performance chips become available [15] Geopolitical and Regulatory Impact - Geopolitical factors and tariffs have limited effects on the vehicle chip industry, with few restrictions on chip exports from China to other countries, except the U.S. Companies like Horizon face slow overseas expansion due to insufficient data accumulation and mass production experience [20]