医药｜盈利能力改善，优选创新龙头

Summary of the Conference Call Records Industry Overview: Pharmaceutical Sector Key Points on Industry Performance - In 2024, the biopharmaceutical sector is expected to stabilize in revenue, but profits are under pressure; the chemical preparation sector shows significant cost reduction and efficiency improvement, with A-share revenue growing by 5% year-on-year and non-recurring net profit increasing by 24%, mainly due to the release of innovative products and milestone revenue from business development [1][2][3] - The innovative drug companies are entering a high-speed development phase, with sample hospital data indicating a revenue growth rate of 60% year-on-year; the number of drug registration certificates has significantly increased from 2019 to 2024, and leading companies are improving operational efficiency, resulting in enhanced profitability [1][6] - In Q1 2025, there was a significant increase in holdings of chemical preparations and other biopharmaceuticals by both pharmaceutical and non-pharmaceutical funds, indicating a rising interest in innovative drug companies; despite some recovery in overall valuation, the pharmaceutical sector remains at a historical low, presenting investment opportunities [1][8] Financial Performance Insights - The overall profitability of the pharmaceutical sector has improved, with the chemical preparation sector showing a notable optimization in sales expense ratio, which decreased by 2.4 percentage points year-on-year in 2024; however, the biopharmaceutical sector's revenue growth rate declined by 1 percentage point in 2024, with an 8% year-on-year increase in Q1 2025 [2][3] - In Q1 2025, Ganli Pharmaceutical's insulin product price increase led to a 100% year-on-year net profit growth, while Tonghua Dongbao's profit fell by 49%, primarily due to the impact of a new round of insulin centralized procurement [1][10] Company-Specific Developments - In Q1 2025, companies like Rongchang Bio and Junshi are narrowing their losses, with core products accelerating profitability; a positive development trend is expected over the next three years [1][11] - The chemical preparation sector's revenue growth for large pharmaceutical companies remained stable, while smaller companies faced short-term profit pressures; high-barrier and innovative transformation companies performed well [3][12] Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies in the Pharma sector include Heng Rui, Han Sen Pharmaceutical, China Biologics, and others; in the Biotech sector, companies like BeiGene, Innovent Biologics, and others are highlighted for their strong competitive positions and promising core products [1][9] Market Trends and Valuation - The pharmaceutical sector's overall valuation is at a historical low, with significant recovery signs since 2025; the biopharmaceutical and chemical preparation sectors are particularly noted for their growth potential [1][22] - The active public funds' holdings in the pharmaceutical sector increased to 10% in Q1 2025, reflecting a growing interest in the sector, especially in innovative drugs [16][17] Additional Insights - The performance of the insulin sub-sector in Q1 2025 showed a stark contrast between Ganli Pharmaceutical and Tonghua Dongbao, driven by pricing strategies influenced by centralized procurement [10] - The focus of funds on different sub-sectors indicates a shift, with significant increases in holdings in chemical preparations and biopharmaceuticals, while medical devices and consumables are also gaining attention from non-pharmaceutical funds [18][20]