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CONSOL Energy (CEIX) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported an adjusted EBITDA of $123 million for Q1 2025, despite a generally soft market environment [5][21] - A net loss of $69 million or $1.38 per diluted share was recorded for the same quarter [21] - The company returned $106.6 million to investors through share buybacks and dividends [5] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The high CV thermal segment generated substantial free cash flow, selling 7.1 million tons at a realized revenue of $63.18 per ton [21][23] - The metallurgical segment sold 2.3 million tons, achieving a realized coal revenue of $113.7 per ton for coking coal [23] - The PRB segment sold 10.7 million tons at a realized revenue of $14.93 per ton [23] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. power generation increased by 3.8% year-to-date, with coal generation up 20% in 2025 [16][26] - The company noted a 20% increase in Chinese imports of seaborne coking coal in 2024, supporting global market dynamics [17] - Domestic demand for high CV thermal coal remains strong, counterbalancing international market softness [15][26] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to capture annual synergies of $125 million to $150 million, having already executed strategies expected to yield over $100 million in annual synergies [11][27] - A capital return framework was established to return approximately 75% of free cash flow to shareholders [9][22] - The company is focused on maintaining operational momentum and capturing synergies as coal markets normalize [7][12] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to generate significant free cash flow, particularly in the second half of the year [18] - The company is optimistic about the long-term market outlook for metallurgical coal despite current pricing challenges [17] - Management highlighted the importance of stable power prices and the potential for increased coal-fired generation due to favorable market conditions [51][55] Other Important Information - The company completed a refinancing of its credit facilities, enhancing liquidity and reducing financing costs [19][20] - The Leer South mine is expected to resume longwall operations by mid-year, which should improve production rates [13][68] Q&A Session Summary Question: Did the adjusted EBITDA of $123 million include the $36 million of idled costs? - Management confirmed that the adjusted EBITDA does not add back the idled mine costs [37][39] Question: What is the outlook for the metallurgical segment costs in Q2? - Management indicated that Q2 costs are expected to be slightly impacted by planned longwall movements but overall should see a drop compared to Q1 [41][43] Question: Can you provide an update on the longwall operations at Leer South? - Management stated that they plan to reenter the mine soon and are optimistic about the longwall's condition [68][70] Question: How does the company view the recent executive orders supporting the coal industry? - Management expressed optimism about the administration's recognition of the coal industry's importance but noted that utilities are cautious about long-term investments [51][52] Question: What is the company's strategy regarding share buybacks? - Management confirmed that they will continue to deploy cash opportunistically towards share buybacks, especially given the current stock valuation [63][66] Question: How is the company approaching potential M&A opportunities? - Management indicated that the current focus is on share buybacks rather than acquisitions, given the favorable valuation of their own stock [99]