Coty(US:COTY)2025-05-07 13:02Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates a sharp sales deceleration in Q4, primarily due to a strategic cleanup in the Prestige division rather than worsening market conditions [6][7] - The Consumer Beauty division is expected to continue experiencing a mid-single-digit decline in the cosmetics category globally [8][7] - The company is focused on maintaining gross margin despite the challenges in the Consumer Beauty segment [24][39] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Prestige fragrance category continues to grow at a mid-single-digit rate, particularly strong in the U.S. and most European markets, while facing challenges in China [12][14] - The Consumer Beauty division shows diverging trends, with color cosmetics under pressure while mass fragrances are growing at high single digits [18][19] - The company is reallocating resources to support mass fragrances, which are more profitable compared to color cosmetics [21][22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Retailers are tightening inventory management, leading to a disconnect between sell-in and sell-out trends, particularly in the U.S. [46][70] - The mass market is experiencing a low single-digit decline, with color cosmetics negatively impacted while mass fragrances are performing well [94][96] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is implementing a "glocalization" strategy, empowering regional teams to make decisions that cater to local market dynamics [49][50] - A focus on innovation and strategic revenue management is being emphasized to navigate the current market challenges [39][56] - The company is committed to improving EBITDA margins through structural changes and ongoing productivity initiatives [86][84] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledges the current macroeconomic uncertainties but remains optimistic about gradual improvement in sales trends throughout fiscal 2026 [27][28] - The company is confident in the resilience of the beauty market and its ability to adapt to changing consumer preferences and competitive pressures [100][101] Other Important Information - The company is facing tariff impacts, particularly in Prestige Fragrance, but has taken proactive measures to mitigate these effects [34][35] - A mid-single-digit price increase is planned for the Prestige portfolio, with expectations of inelastic demand [38][74] Q&A Session Summary Question: Q4 sales outlook and consumer demand - Management clarified that the anticipated sales deceleration is due to strategic actions in the Prestige division rather than a decline in market conditions [6][7] Question: Growth sustainability in the prestige fragrance category - Management believes mid-single-digit growth in the U.S. and Europe is sustainable, driven by increased penetration among younger consumers [12][14] Question: Consumer Beauty business and profitability - The company is focusing on increasing profitability in the Consumer Beauty division by reallocating resources and emphasizing mass fragrances [18][21] Question: FY '26 phasing and sales trends - Management expects continued declines in H1 but anticipates gradual improvement throughout the year [27][28] Question: Tariff impact and pricing strategy - The company is implementing pricing strategies to offset tariff impacts, with a focus on maintaining gross margins [34][38] Question: Retailer replenishment and inventory management - Retailers are tightening inventory, leading to a new pattern of low inventory levels, which the company is actively managing [46][70] Question: Organizational changes in the U.S. - The company is empowering regional teams to enhance agility and responsiveness to local market conditions [49][50] Question: Cost savings initiatives and structural changes - Management emphasized that the cost-saving measures are structural and aimed at optimizing the organization for current market volatility [55][86] Question: Current market conditions for prestige vs. consumer beauty - The prestige division is seeing stable growth, while the consumer beauty segment is facing challenges, particularly in color cosmetics [90][94]