Moody’s(MCO)2025-05-28 16:00Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Over the last five years, Moody's has achieved a top-line growth of 8% CAGR, with EPS also growing at 8%. In the last two years, revenue has grown at 14% and EPS at 21%, indicating strong operating leverage [3][4][7]. Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The analytics business has seen a growth in ARR of 9% to 10% over the last few years, although it has decelerated somewhat in recent quarters [53]. - The KYC segment has experienced high teens ARR growth, driven by recent AI initiatives [59]. Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Approximately half of Moody's revenues come from outside the United States, with significant investments in domestic markets in regions like Africa and Latin America [12][14]. - The private credit market is currently valued at around $2 trillion, with expectations for growth to $10 trillion or more, presenting substantial opportunities for Moody's [38][39]. Company Strategy and Development Direction - Moody's is focusing on integrating AI into its offerings, enhancing its data and analytics capabilities, and expanding its presence in private credit and KYC solutions [4][60]. - The company aims to maintain its competitive position by leveraging proprietary data and analytics, particularly in the insurance and banking sectors [10][11]. Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that while there are headwinds from elevated treasuries and trade policy uncertainty, there are signs of recovery in the issuance markets [22][23]. - The demand for independent credit assessments is expected to increase, especially during credit cycles, reinforcing the need for Moody's services [48]. Other Important Information - Moody's has made significant acquisitions to enhance its capabilities, including investments in companies like Predicate and Cape, which are expected to drive growth in the insurance sector [72][74]. - The company is exploring new revenue models, including consumption-based pricing for certain content sets, to improve operating leverage [76]. Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the long-term margin targets for MA? - Management indicated a medium-term target for MA margins in the mid-30s, with potential for further upside as the business scales and integrates technology [75]. Question: How does AI impact M&A direction? - The company is considering investments in analytics businesses that align with the future of B2B software and AI, balancing current business needs with future opportunities [78][79]. Question: What opportunities does private credit present? - The growth of private credit into retail markets is seen as a significant opportunity for Moody's, as it will likely require more ratings and assessments [81][82].