American Woodmark (AMWD) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported net sales of $397.6 million, a decline of 5.8% compared to the prior year, which was below expectations due to softer demand in the remodel market and a significant decline in new construction activity [7][23] - Adjusted EBITDA was $38.4 million, representing 9.7% of net sales, down from 12% in the previous year, indicating a 230 basis point decline year-over-year [12][26] - Adjusted net income was $15.9 million or $1.05 per diluted share, compared to $25.1 million or $1.56 per diluted share last year [26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - New construction net sales decreased by 10.4%, while repair and remodel net sales were down 2.3% [24] - The home center made-to-order business remained flat year-over-year, while the stock kitchen business saw mid-single-digit growth [8] - The distribution business experienced a decline of double digits due to reduced new construction activity [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Single-family housing starts showed negative comparisons versus the prior year, particularly in markets like Atlanta, Florida, and Southern California [10] - The company noted a rotation down in made-to-order new construction offerings, leading to an unfavorable mix impact [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on three main strategic pillars: growth, digital transformation, and platform design [17] - Recent initiatives include the conversion of distribution business customers to the new brand 1951 Cabinetry and the launch of new finishes and styles [18][19] - The company is also evaluating pricing strategies to mitigate inflationary impacts and potential new tariffs [32] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed concerns about ongoing macroeconomic challenges, including declining consumer sentiment and inflation risks, with expectations of a mid-single-digit decline in net sales for the full fiscal year [14][30] - The outlook for adjusted EBITDA is revised to a range of $210 million to $215 million, driven by softening sales volumes and increased manufacturing deleverage [31] Other Important Information - The company announced the closure of its Orange, Virginia manufacturing location, which is expected to improve operational efficiencies [27] - Free cash flows totaled $31.5 million year-to-date, a decrease from $131.7 million in the prior year, primarily due to changes in operating cash flows [28] Q&A Session Summary Question: What portion of your reduced guide is attributed to the slower R&R environment and builders reducing inventory? - Management indicated that both factors were key contributors to the overall comp rate for the quarter and that the full-year outlook assumes a similar operating environment in Q4 [38] Question: Have you begun to see any positive impacts from the hurricanes last fall or potentially the fires in Southern California? - Management noted some positive comps in Florida from hurricane-impacted stores, but nothing material for the overall quarter [40] Question: Can you discuss pricing considerations and the options you're contemplating? - Management stated that if tariffs are implemented and cannot be fully mitigated, pricing action will likely be necessary, with discussions ongoing about potential surcharges [44][47] Question: Is dealer demand bottoming, and what is the outlook for R&R? - Management expressed hope that demand is bottoming out, with expectations for an increase in the future, particularly in the second half of 2025 [50][51] Question: Can you quantify the impact of mix headwinds within the new construction business? - Management confirmed a rotation down in product offerings, with builders trying to lower price points to improve affordability [55] Question: What would be the annual benefit from closing the Orange facility in terms of EBITDA and gross margins? - Management indicated that the impact would be incorporated into the fiscal year '26 outlook, with further details to be provided in the next call [63]