港股互联网：核心标的25Q1业绩后基本面展望及投资逻辑梳理

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing increased volatility due to future uncertainties, despite continued inflows from southbound funds. High-dividend products and U.S. Treasury bonds are creating a siphoning effect on equity assets, suppressing Hong Kong stock performance [1][2]. Company Performance Highlights Tencent - Tencent's Q1 2025 performance is strong, with revenue growth expected at approximately 10% and profit growth between 14% to 15%, reaching 255 billion RMB. The growth is driven by the gaming sector (notably "Honor of Kings" and "Peacekeeper Elite") and advertising, particularly from video ads [1][4]. - The gaming segment saw a growth rate of 24%, exceeding market expectations, supported by strategic initiatives and new game launches planned for Q3 and Q4 [4][6]. - Advertising revenue grew by 20%, driven by improved ROI from video ads, benefiting from AI enhancements [4][6]. Alibaba - Alibaba's Q1 2025 results are in line with expectations, with total revenue of 236.4 billion RMB and adjusted net profit of 29.8 billion RMB. The Taobao and Tmall group's customer management revenue grew by 11.8%, surpassing expectations [1][7]. - The cloud business's revenue growth is in line with market expectations, but profit performance was weaker than anticipated, raising market concerns [1][8]. - The company is optimistic about the full year, projecting a revenue growth rate of 7% to 8% for Taobao and Tmall [7][8]. Meituan - Meituan's Q1 2025 results exceeded expectations, with total revenue around 86.5 billion RMB and a NON-GAAP net profit of approximately 10.9 billion RMB, driven by improvements in local business operations [1][10]. - However, Meituan faces significant competitive pressure from JD and Alibaba, with expectations of a 30% year-on-year decline in food delivery operating profit in Q2 [10][13]. NetEase - NetEase's Q1 2025 performance in mobile and PC games exceeded expectations, leading to an upward revision of revenue and net profit forecasts, with net profit growth expected at around 18% [1][16]. - The company has significantly reduced marketing expenses, enhancing profitability [16][17]. Kuaishou - Kuaishou's advertising business showed weak performance in Q1, with an expected annual revenue growth of around 12%. The focus remains on AI developments, particularly in the Keling AI sector [3][18]. Ctrip and Tongcheng Travel - Tongcheng Travel reported stable revenue in Q1 2025, with international flight business as a highlight. The company is expected to maintain growth in its core OTA business [3][21]. - Ctrip's Q1 2025 revenue growth reached 16%, driven by differentiated product offerings targeting various consumer segments [27][30]. Market Trends and Competitive Landscape - The Hong Kong stock market is currently undervalued, with the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index trading at approximately 20x and 10x P/E ratios, respectively, compared to historical averages [2]. - The takeaway from the competitive landscape indicates that while companies like Meituan and JD are facing intense competition, they also have significant market stability and potential for long-term growth [10][13]. Additional Insights - The gaming industry in Q1 2025 showed better-than-expected profit performance, benefiting from structural optimization and cost control measures [5]. - The overall sentiment in the market remains cautious due to external factors such as U.S. court rulings affecting tariff policies and delayed interest rate cuts [2][6]. This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call records, highlighting the performance of major companies within the Hong Kong internet sector and the broader market dynamics.