APA(US:APA)2025-02-27 17:00Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q4 2024, APA reported consolidated net income of $354 million or $0.96 per diluted share, with adjusted net income of $290 million or $0.79 per share [19][20] - The company generated $420 million of free cash flow in Q4 2024, the highest for any quarter in 2024, and returned 46% of this amount to shareholders [21] - For the full year 2024, APA generated $841 million in free cash flow, returning 71% to shareholders [21][22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the Permian Basin, APA's U.S. business is now almost entirely comprised of unconventional assets, driving over 75% of current adjusted production [7][8] - The company achieved a breakeven oil price of $61 per barrel in 2024, down from Cowen's 2023 breakeven of $78 per barrel [13] - In Egypt, APA returned to normalized workover and recompletion backlogs, improving oil production profiles [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The average realized gas price is expected to increase from $2.96 per Mcf in Q4 2024 to at least $3.15 per Mcf in Q1 2025, with a full-year average expected in the $3.4 to $3.5 range [27] - The company anticipates generating a combined net gain of $600 million for 2025 from gas trading activities [30][78] Company Strategy and Development Direction - APA's strategy includes enhancing the quality and sustainability of its portfolio in the Permian Basin and Egypt while building long-term optionality through exploration [6][18] - The company plans to run an eight-rig program in the Permian and a 12-rig program in Egypt for 2025, with a total capital budget of $2.5 billion to $2.6 billion [14][15] - Cost reduction initiatives are expected to generate at least $350 million in annualized savings by the end of 2027 [17][31] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving cost reduction targets and emphasized the importance of a sustainable and predictable production profile [38][39] - The company aims to reduce controllable spend to drive free cash flow growth from 2025 to 2027, ahead of Suriname's first oil in 2028 [18][34] Other Important Information - APA achieved a BBB- rating from S&P, marking it as investment grade with all three rating agencies [7][22] - The company closed the sale of non-core conventional properties in the Permian Basin on December 31, 2024 [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: Concerns about share performance despite strong cash flow - Management acknowledged the concerns and highlighted the transformation of their asset base, emphasizing cost structure improvements and sustainable inventory [36][37] Question: Share buybacks versus debt repayment - Management stated that they are working on both share buybacks and debt repayment, believing in the value of their asset base [40][41] Question: Update on Alaska exploration - Operations in Alaska are progressing well, with no comments on pay zones yet, but management is optimistic about the results [49][50] Question: Permian productivity and guidance - Management noted improved productivity in Howard County and clarified that 2025 guidance reflects a sustainable production base with eight rigs [56][63] Question: Balancing rig activity between oil and gas in Egypt - Management indicated a strong start in gas drilling and plans to potentially shift more rigs to gas as results improve [66][68] Question: Receivable situation in Egypt - Management reported that past due balances have remained stable, with expectations for progress in 2025 [74][75] Question: Breakdown of gas trading revenue - Management provided a breakdown of expected gas trading revenue for 2025, with significant contributions from both pipeline trading and LNG contracts [78] Question: Cost-cutting initiatives and organizational changes - Management detailed their approach to cost savings, emphasizing a structured plan to achieve targets over three years [82][86] Question: Inventory duration in the Permian - Management expressed confidence in sustaining inventory through 2029, with ongoing efforts to characterize Cowen assets [89][92]