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1306 科技日报 2 中英
2025-06-15 16:04

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Company: Adobe (ADBE) Financial Performance - Net-new Digital Media ARR: $460 million, roughly in line with expectations [3] - Revenue: $5.87 billion, up 11% year-over-year, exceeding market expectations of $5.80 billion (9% year-over-year) [3] - Non-GAAP EPS: $5.06, up 13% year-over-year, compared to Street's expectation of $4.98 (11% year-over-year) [3] - Digital Media Revenue: $4.35 billion, 12% year-over-year growth, surpassing Street's expectation of $4.29 billion [3] - Digital Experience Revenue: $1.46 billion, 10% year-over-year growth, slightly above Street's expectation of $1.44 billion [3] - Non-GAAP Operating Margin: 45.5%, compared to Street's expectation of 45.1% [3] Guidance - F3Q Revenue Guidance: $5.875 billion to $5.925 billion (mid-point 9.5% year-over-year) vs. Street's expectation of $5.88 billion [4] - Full-Year Revenue Guidance: Raised to $23.50 billion to $23.60 billion, slightly above consensus [4] Market Sentiment - Bullish Perspective: Advocates argue that Adobe's AI initiatives are beginning to generate real revenue, with Firefly and Express enterprise traction indicating potential for pricing leverage. The stock trades at a ~40% discount to large-cap software peers, with management confident in double-digit revenue growth and mid-40s margins [5] - Bearish Perspective: Critics point out that core growth is slowing, with net-new ARR down 6% year-over-year. Concerns include AI monetization challenges, rising operational expenses, and competition from Canva and Meta. The FY-25 guidance is seen as merely FX-aided rather than indicative of demand improvement [6] Company: Apple (AAPL) Market Performance - iPhone and iPad Demand: Morgan Stanley anticipates a surge in June revenue by up to $4 billion due to strong sales in China, driven by promotions and subsidies [8][9] - Production in China: iPhone builds are expected to rise by 19% year-over-year, while iPad builds are projected to increase by 38% year-over-year [8][9] - Global Sales Growth: iPhone sales in China reached the top spot in May, with global sales growing 15% year-over-year during April and May [10][11] Strategic Developments - Siri AI Upgrade: Apple plans to release a delayed upgrade for Siri in Spring 2026, which will enhance its capabilities by utilizing consumer data [12][13] Company: Tesla (TSLA) Market Outlook - Guggenheim's Position: The firm reiterated a Sell rating, citing deteriorating fundamentals despite short-term enthusiasm around robotaxi narratives. Q2 delivery trends are soft, with a forecast of only 360,000 deliveries, significantly below the consensus of 415,000 [20] - Model S and X Updates: Tesla has upgraded its Model S and X vehicles in the U.S., raising prices by $5,000 [21] Company: Zscaler (ZS) Analyst Upgrade - Wells Fargo Upgrade: The firm upgraded ZS to Overweight, raising the price target to $385, citing accelerating growth and margin expansion potential. Zscaler is on track to reach $5 billion in ARR by FY27 [16] Company: Oracle (ORCL) Analyst Upgrade - BMO Upgrade: BMO Capital upgraded Oracle to Outperform, raising the price target to $235, driven by strong results and confidence in FY26 growth [17] Company: DocuSign (DOCU) Analyst Upgrade - Wells Fargo Upgrade: The firm upgraded DOCU to Equal Weight, raising the price target to $80, citing a more reasonable valuation following underwhelming Q1 results [18] Industry Insights - Chinese Robotics Leadership: Morgan Stanley highlights China's rapid advancement in robotics, driven by structural advantages and long-term strategies, including dominance in rare earths and government support [36][37] Other Notable Developments - Walmart and Amazon: Both companies are exploring the issuance of their own stablecoins, potentially disrupting traditional financial systems [27][28][29]