Summary of Semiconductor Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The semiconductor equipment and materials sector is currently undervalued, with increasing market attention driven by capital rotation, market sentiment, and fundamental expectations. Key drivers include downstream bidding, wafer fab progress, and individual company performance [1][4]. Core Insights and Arguments - The policy focus on self-sufficiency is strengthening, with optimistic signals from leading wafer fabs benefiting the sector. Equipment companies expect stable year-on-year orders in the first half of 2025, with high procurement motivation from wafer fabs [1][5]. - The self-sufficiency in semiconductor manufacturing in mainland China is progressing, with breakthroughs expected in core equipment and advanced process yields between 2025 and 2026. The gap between China and the US remains significant, and tightening policies reinforce the importance of self-sufficiency [1][6]. - The investment value in semiconductor equipment lies in the growth of domestic orders driven by local substitution. Although growth is not explosive, the shift towards domestic equipment orders and companies' smoothing strategies ensure stable performance, making this a good time for investment given the low valuations [1][7]. - The investment logic for semiconductor materials has shifted, with both domestic and foreign wafer fabs increasing acceptance of domestic materials due to supply chain security and cost reduction as primary drivers [1][8]. - In 2025, wafer fabs are expected to be fully loaded, benefiting materials companies significantly. Companies with a good competitive landscape and positioning advantage will see increased product demand due to capacity expansion [1][10]. Additional Important Points - As of late June 2025, the valuation of the semiconductor equipment and materials sector has adjusted to reasonable levels, nearing the lowest points observed in September 2024. For instance, the valuation of North China Huachuang has dropped to approximately 30 times earnings [3]. - Key factors influencing the market performance of the semiconductor equipment and materials sector include capital rotation, mid-year market sentiment, and clearer fundamental expectations. Positive feedback from downstream bidding, advanced process progress at wafer fabs, and individual company performance contribute positively to market expectations [4]. - The semiconductor materials sector's valuation has returned to reasonable levels after a market correction, with some leading companies now presenting configuration value [11]. - Recommended investment strategies in the semiconductor equipment sector include selecting leading companies like North China Huachuang for stable growth and targeting companies with low domestic substitution rates that have potential for marginal catalysts, such as Zhongwei and Shengmei Shanghai [12]. - In the semiconductor materials sector, it is advised to invest in companies with strong positioning advantages and stable competitive landscapes, with key recommendations including Dinglong Co. and Anji Technology [13].
半导体基石:自主可控驱动业绩高增+订单兑现,把握设备材料投资机遇
2025-06-30 01:02