Jefferies：这大而美的法案 ——15 项宏观与能源转型影响

3. "Current policy" baseline may mask true fiscal cost — Senate Republicans used a "current policy" baseline to score OBBB, excluding the TCJA costs from the official deficit impact. Using this baseline, the CBO estimates the bill would add ~$500bn less than extending the tax cuts without offsets over 2025-2034. Democrats have criticized this approach, warning that it sets a precarious precedent by allowing lawmakers to disregard the cost of extending expiring policies. Investors should note that while the ...