杭氧股份20250718

Summary of Hangyang Co., Ltd. Conference Call Industry Overview - The gas industry is closely related to the manufacturing sector, with China's manufacturing value added accounting for over 30% of the global total, while China's gas market share is only about 2%, indicating significant future growth potential [3][4] - The international industrial gas giants have market capitalizations far exceeding that of Chinese leaders, highlighting the vast potential of the Chinese industrial gas market and the growth space for domestic leaders like Hangyang [2][6] Company Insights - Hangyang's business structure includes equipment and gas segments, with gas business divided into pipeline gas and retail gas. Pipeline gas has a defensive attribute due to long-term contracts and guaranteed capacity utilization, while retail gas has an offensive attribute due to price fluctuations [2][7] - The current investment climate for Hangyang is favorable as the company is at a cyclical bottom, with a price-to-book (PB) ratio of approximately 2 and a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of about 20, indicating a significant valuation gap compared to international leaders [2][8] - In 2024, Hangyang's revenue structure is expected to consist of approximately one-third from equipment and two-thirds from gas, with pipeline gas accounting for about 80% and retail gas for about 20% of the gas business [2][10] Financial Performance - Recent price increases in gases such as oxygen and nitrogen have positively impacted Hangyang's stock price, with a 15%-16% quarter-over-quarter increase in comprehensive gas prices in Q2 [4][11] - The company is projected to achieve a net profit of around 1 billion RMB this year, corresponding to a PE ratio of about 20 [4][13] - The company reported a 10% year-over-year growth in Q1, with expectations for continued steady growth in Q2 despite economic challenges [5][14] Market Dynamics - The recovery of gas prices is a positive signal for Hangyang's stock, with recent trends indicating a reversal from the cyclical bottom. If market demand improves or the competitive landscape optimizes, gas prices may further recover [4][11] - Supply-side reforms could lead to a rapid increase in the Producer Price Index (PPI), which would subsequently drive up the prices of upstream raw materials, including industrial gases [12] Valuation Perspective - Compared to international industrial gas leaders, which have PE ratios between 25 and 30, Hangyang's valuation has been relatively low at 15 to 20 times, primarily due to domestic macroeconomic factors [13] - If the economic outlook improves, Hangyang's valuation could see significant upward movement, with potential for market share to increase from 12%-13% to 23%-30% in the future [8][9] Conclusion - Hangyang Co., Ltd. is positioned for potential growth in a recovering gas market, with a favorable investment opportunity due to its current valuation and market dynamics. The company’s defensive and offensive business attributes, along with the anticipated recovery in gas prices, suggest a positive outlook for future performance [2][4][8]