中国周报：MXCN 沪深 300 指数上涨 3.7%；国家市场监督管理总局敦促外卖企业理性竞争；二季度 GDPChina Weekly Kickstart_ MXCN_CSI300 gained 3.7; SAMR urged food delivery companies to compete rationally; Q2 GDP came in above consensus market expectations

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report discusses the performance of the Chinese stock market, specifically the MXCN and CSI300 indices, which gained 3.7% and 1.1% respectively during the week. The Health Care sector outperformed, while Real Estate and Value sectors lagged behind [1][3][8]. Economic Indicators - China's Q2 GDP growth was reported at 5.2% year-over-year, slightly above market consensus of 5.1% and in line with internal forecasts. The full-year GDP growth forecast for 2025 has been adjusted to 4.7% [1][55]. - Policymakers are expected to discuss economic policies for the second half of the year in the upcoming Politburo meeting, with no significant stimulus anticipated due to robust H1 growth [1]. Sector Performance - Health Care and Growth sectors showed strong performance with increases of 8.6% and 4.7% respectively, while Real Estate and Value sectors saw declines of 4.7% and 2.1% [3][8]. - The forward price-to-earnings ratios for MXCN and CSI300 are 12.1x and 13.4x, with expected EPS growth of 5% for 2025 and 14% for 2026 for MXCN [9]. IPO Market Insights - The report highlights a resurgence in Hong Kong IPOs, with increased participation from global long-term capital as cornerstone investors [10][13]. - The demand-to-offer ratio for Hong Kong IPOs has dropped to a historical low, indicating strong retail investor demand [17]. - Newly listed companies with significant growth potential tend to perform better post-IPO, with average returns of approximately 10% on the first trading day and 40% within three months [20]. Fund Flows and Positioning - Global fund allocation in Chinese equities has recovered, with gross allocation to China increasing to 5.2% as of July 2025, up from 4.5% in January 2025 [30][31]. - Net allocation to China also increased to 7.2%, indicating a positive trend in investor sentiment towards Chinese markets [33]. Regulatory Environment - The State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR) has urged food delivery companies to engage in rational competition and improve the regulation of promotional activities [1]. - Recent meetings between President Xi and business leaders suggest a potential easing of policies towards private enterprises [50]. Conclusion - The overall sentiment in the Chinese market appears cautiously optimistic, with strong sector performances in Health Care and Growth, a recovering IPO market, and increasing fund allocations towards Chinese equities. However, challenges remain in the Real Estate sector and regulatory scrutiny continues to shape market dynamics [1][3][10][30].