博众精工20250723

Summary of the Conference Call for 博众精工 Company Overview - 博众精工 is a core supplier of automation equipment for Apple, primarily focused on the consumer electronics sector, which accounts for 60%-70% of its business. The company also has a 20%-30% share in the new energy sector, which has previously incurred losses. [2][6] Key Points and Arguments - Profit Growth Projections: The company expects a profit increase of 20% in 2025, reaching approximately 500 million yuan, with a conservative estimate of 700 million yuan in 2026. [2][3] - Investment from Apple: Apple is projected to invest 4 billion yuan in foldable screen devices in 2025, with 博众精工 expected to secure about one-third of this, translating to 1 billion yuan in orders. This segment has a net profit margin close to 15%, potentially adding 150 million yuan in profit for 博众 in 2026. [4][10] - Market Conditions: The recommendation to invest in 博众 is based on the early start of foldable screen sampling, indicating an earlier-than-usual market upturn in the 3C sector, and positive performance expectations for the third and fourth quarters of 2025. [5] - Revenue Stability: The company has maintained stable revenue, although the first quarter of 2025 saw no year-on-year growth due to it being a "small year" for Apple. However, the second half of the year is expected to see significant revenue growth driven by confirmed orders from 宁德时代 for battery swap stations. [7][8] Future Growth Drivers - New Product Demand: Future growth is anticipated from the demand for foldable screen devices, the second generation of Vision Pro, and all-glass iPhones. Additionally, the company is expanding its non-Apple client base, although current revenue from these clients is minimal. [9] - New Energy Sector Recovery: 博众 aims to achieve breakeven in its new energy business by 2025 after reducing low-margin orders. The smart battery swap business is expected to grow rapidly, with plans to establish over a thousand swap stations, where 博众 anticipates capturing half of the market share. [11][12] Financial and Structural Insights - Ownership and Control: The controlling shareholder holds over 60% of the company. The financial outlook remains stable, with a focus on exiting low-margin orders to improve profitability. [7] - Investment Recommendations: With a current market value of 13 billion yuan and a target of 20 billion yuan, the expected return on investment is between 30% to 50%. The company is viewed as a low-risk, steady growth investment opportunity. [14]