Banco de Sabadell (0H00) 2025 Capital Markets Day Transcript

Summary of Banco de Sabadell Capital Markets Day Company Overview - Company: Banco de Sabadell - Event: Capital Markets Day held on July 24, 2025 - Key Speakers: CEO Cesar Gonzalez Bueno, CFO Sergio Palabestino Core Industry Insights - Economic Context: Spain's economy is expected to grow above its peers, with GDP growth projected at around 2% and inflation at 2% over the next three years [doc id='62'][doc id='63'] - Banking Sector Growth: Private sector credit and deposits are expected to grow at a CAGR of 4%, aligning with nominal GDP growth [doc id='64'] Strategic Pillars 1. Profitability and Capital Generation: - Net profit increased from €200 million to €1.6 billion from 2021 to 2024, with a target return on tangible equity (ROTE) of 16% by 2027 [doc id='4'][doc id='5'] - Capital generation is expected to improve significantly post the sale of TSB, with an extraordinary distribution of 400 basis points anticipated [doc id='7'] 2. Growth Strategy: - Focus on prudent growth in Spain, with moderate market share gains while ensuring value generation [doc id='8][doc id='9'] - Projected growth in household lending and corporate lending at around 4% [doc id='12'] 3. Execution and Risk Management: - Enhanced risk models and pricing strategies to improve customer experience and conversion rates [doc id='13'][doc id='14'] - Significant improvements in the quality of risk acceptance, with a 60% reduction in consumer loan defaults [doc id='19] Financial Performance and Projections - 2025 Guidance: - Expected net interest income (NII) of €3.6 billion, with fees and commissions projected to grow mid-single digits [doc id='75'] - Cost of risk guidance improved to 35 basis points, reflecting strong asset quality [doc id='74] - Long-term Projections: - NII expected to reach €3.9 billion by 2027, with a continued focus on maintaining a healthy cost of risk at 40 basis points [doc id='76'] - ROTE projected to be 16% by 2027, driven by improved asset quality and cost management [doc id='77] Shareholder Value Creation - Capital Distribution: - Total expected distribution of €6.3 billion over three years, including an extraordinary dividend of €2.5 billion from the sale of TSB [doc id='60] - Commitment to a 60% payout ratio, with cash dividends expected to increase in 2025, 2026, and 2027 [doc id='61] Key Risks and Considerations - Market Conditions: - Interest rates are expected to normalize, with ECB rates projected to stabilize around 2% by mid-2027 [doc id='65] - The bank's funding structure is robust, with a high percentage of non-remunerated deposits, which helps manage cost dynamics [doc id='70] Additional Insights - Digital Transformation: - Significant investments in digital capabilities to enhance customer engagement and operational efficiency [doc id='14][doc id='48] - The bank's digital customer base is growing, with increased engagement metrics [doc id='48] - Incentive Structures: - New incentive models focused on value creation and capital generation are being implemented to align employee performance with strategic goals [doc id='50][doc id='55] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed during Banco de Sabadell's Capital Markets Day, highlighting the company's strategic direction, financial performance, and outlook for the future.