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关税复盘:产能转移大势所趋,多元布局公司占优
2025-07-29 02:10

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The records focus on the impact of tariffs on the cleaning appliances and small home appliances industries, particularly in relation to the U.S.-China trade tensions and the subsequent shifts in production capacity to Southeast Asia [1][2][4][30]. Key Points and Arguments Tariff Impact on Exports - Following the U.S. tariffs on vacuum cleaners, China's export share to the U.S. dropped from 40% to 25%, with Vietnam becoming a significant alternative source, accounting for approximately 30% of imports [1][3]. - The cleaning appliance sector experienced a slowdown in shipments in Q2 2025 due to increased tariffs, but companies began to ramp up production in Southeast Asia to mitigate costs [1][5]. Company Strategies - Companies like Dechang, Lec and Fujia have shifted production to Southeast Asia to meet U.S. demand, with Lec already covering its export needs through overseas capacity [4][29]. - Brands such as Ecovacs and Roborock have also moved some production to Southeast Asia to benefit from lower tariffs, reducing cost pressures [6][7]. Small Appliance Sector Dynamics - The small appliance sector is slower in capacity transfer compared to cleaning appliances, with coffee machines moving to Indonesia and Thailand, while air fryers are being produced in Mexico and Southeast Asia [9][10]. - Leading companies like Xingbao have leveraged their Southeast Asian production advantages to secure more orders, while those lacking overseas capacity face order losses [10][11]. Black Appliance Industry Resilience - The black appliance sector, represented by companies like Hisense and TCL, has shown resilience against tariffs due to global production strategies and technological upgrades [12][16]. - The U.S. market remains crucial, accounting for 17% of global demand, and despite tariffs causing a 10%-15% increase in retail prices, demand remains stable due to the essential nature of these products [12][13]. Future Trends - The tariff situation has catalyzed a shift towards diversified and decentralized production strategies in the home appliance industry, with companies increasingly establishing overseas capacities [30][32]. - Component suppliers are also adapting by following major clients abroad, enhancing their market presence and product offerings in new regions [32][33]. Additional Important Insights - The cleaning appliance industry is expected to recover from Q2 2025 impacts as production ramps up in Southeast Asia [8]. - The overall export scale of Chinese white goods remains robust despite a decline in the U.S. import share, driven by overseas capacity and growing demand in non-U.S. markets [26][28]. - The ongoing trade tensions have prompted a strategic shift among second-tier appliance manufacturers, who are capitalizing on favorable conditions in Southeast Asia to enhance their international revenue [33].